Bye Bye YCP ??

[Sizzler]

15 minutes ago, Raisins_72 said:

India today: 

NDA: 100+
 

YCP: 55-77

 

Pawan Kalyan + Modi 

 

Looks like they increased vote percentage and seats overnight from yesterday. 44% and 55-77. 

[appusri]

Just now, Sizzler said:

Looks like they increased vote percentage and seats overnight from yesterday. 44% and 55-77. 

Yesterday MP survey results. Today MLA survey results. Cross voting ayi undavacchu kadha?

[Keth]

1 minute ago, Sucker said:

Adhi idhi veru le

Ee ID pilla Sainik

enni ids anna chala threads lo posting ga multiple personalities ani

tittaniki oka id lo oka rupam anta endanna ee daridram 

 

maaku enduku le migatha edavalu gurinchi  jaffas ani mattuku vadiledu anna state ni naakinchesinandku

[Sizzler]

3 minutes ago, appusri said:

Yesterday MP survey results. Today MLA survey results. Cross voting ayi undavacchu kadha?

They seem to be intent on giving more MP seats to BJP. They came to more senses today.

BJP emi podinchindhi ani cross voting chestaru… possible for few candidates (say Sharmila). 

 

[andhra_jp]

Most exit polls paint a grim picture for ruling YSRCP in Andhra Pradesh

The trend is more pronounced in favour of the TDP-BJP-JSP alliance when it comes to the LS polls, as per survey agencies

The exit polls announced by various survey agencies and some national media outlets on June 1 (Saturday) evening indicated a clear edge for the TDP-BJP-Jana Sena Party (JSP) alliance over the ruling YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) in Andhra Pradesh (A.P.) in the 2024 elections. 

Going by a majority of these post-poll findings, the YSRCP, which won a record 151 seats in the Legislative Assembly and 22 Lok Sabha (LS) constituencies in 2019, appears to be in for a defeat at the hands of the NDA allies in the local contest i.e. for the Assembly. The trend is more pronounced in favour of the alliance when it comes to the LS polls. 

An exit poll by Peoples Pulse pegged the NDA partners’ tally in the Assembly at an impressive 111-135 compared to the YSRCP’s 45-60, and another one predicted that the NDA would garner 139 seats and the YSRCP 36. However, there was also an agency which predicted 158 seats for the YSRCP and the NDA to end up with a dismal four seats.

As per yet another exit poll survey, the YSRCP will win between 115 and 125 seats and the NDA allies’ figures will be in the 50 to 60 range. 

The main opposition parties (TDP, BJP and JSP) are, according to KK Survey, likely to win 161 out of 175 seats together. The YSRCP is expected to win 94 to 104 seats and the NDA remaining seats (71-81), another finding says.

It has been prophesied by a survey organisation, Jana Galam, that the YSRCP will win 44 seats and the scales are tilted in its favour in 13 constituencies and that the NDA allies will win 104 and have the edge in 14 seats. 

As per the prediction of another agency, the YSRCP will win 158 Assembly seats and the NDA allies four and the contest is going to be keen’ in 13 constituencies. 

A survey by News 18 said that the TDP -BJP-Jana Sena Party (JSP) alliance will win 19-22 LS constituencies confining the YSRCP to just five to eight seats while another survey by Chanakya Today says the NDA and YSRCP are likely to win 22 and three LS seats respectively. 

In a separate finding, the YSRCP is set to win 16-18 LS seats and the NDA between seven and nine seats. The NDA and YSRCP are predicted by ABP-C-Voter Survey to win 21-25 LS seats and up to four respectively. 

An India Today survey predicted that the NDA allies will win 21 to 23 LS seats and the YSRCP just two to four.

It may be recalled that the TDP had won three LS constituencies and 23 Assembly seats and the JSP won a lone Assembly seat in 2019. The TDP, JSP and BJP tied up for the 2024 elections with the single-point agenda to defeat the YSRCP.

[andhra_jp]

Lok Sabha exit polls 2024: TDP-BJP-Jana Sena expected to win big

 

Axis My India MD Pradeep Gupta said the biggest turning point in Andhra Pradesh was the arrest of TDP chief and former chief minister Chandrababu Naidu, which washed away any of the welfare measures adopted by the YSRCP.

 

Ahead of the official announcement of the Lok Sabha election results on June 4, the exit polls are predicting a victory for the Telugu Desam Party (TDP). According to various surveys, the party’s alliance with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and Pawan Kalyan’s Jana Sena Party (JSP) is working in its favour, in its contest against the state’s ruling YSR Congress Party (YSRCP) which won 22 out of the 25 Parliamentary constituencies in 2019.

The India Today-My Axis exit poll has predicted 13-15 seats for the TDP this time, followed by 4-6 seats for the BJP, 2-4 seats for YSRCP, and zero seats for the Congress and other smaller parties in the state.

In its 2019 exit poll for the Lok Sabha election, the My Axis poll had predicted that YSRCP would get 18-20 seats and TDP 4-6 seats. It also said the JSP would not win any seat. Its predictions were close to reality as the YSRCP in 2019 won 22 out of the 25 Parliamentary seats with a 49.89% vote share, while the then incumbent TDP won 3 seats with a 40.19% vote share.

“The biggest turning point in Andhra Pradesh was the arrest of TDP chief and former AP Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu. The arrest washed away any of the welfare measures adopted by the YSRCP,” said Axis My India’s Managing Director Pradeep Gupta, discussing the TDP supremo’s arrest for his alleged involvement in the AP skill development scam.

Speaking to India Today, BJP’s Lok Sabha candidate for the Anakapalli Parliamentary constituency CM Ramesh said, “People are looking forward to the double-engine sarkar of the BJP as they are fed up with YSRCP chief and incumbent CM YS Jagan Mohan Reddy. The results will translate in the Assembly elections as well.”

Similar to the My Axis poll, the ABP’s C Voter exit poll has also predicted that the NDA alliance, of which TDP and JSP are a part, would get 21-25 seats while the ruling YSRCP will get 0-4 seats this election. In 2019, the C Voter survey had predicted 14 seats for the TDP and 11 for the YSRCP.

People’s Pulse indicated that the TDP will win 13-15 seats, with Jana Sena and BJP winning 2 seats and 2-4 seats respectively. The poll suggests that YSRCP will not win more than 3-5 seats. According to the D-Dynamics exit poll, the NDA is likely to win 18 seats, while the YSRCP is expected to trail behind with 7. The Chanakya exit poll has predicted 22-25 seats for the TDP with the YSRCP getting 0-3 seats.

Six years after it left the NDA, the TDP had rejoined the alliance ahead of the 2024 elections. The TDP contested in 17 out of the 25 Lok Sabha constituencies in the state, leaving two seats for Jana Sena and six for the BJP.

[andhra_jp]

Is high voter turnout an indication of wind of change in Andhra Pradesh?

With the exit polls out now, psephologists predict a wind of change in the governance of Andhra Pradesh

Amid the political heat and heightened tensions, the voters of Andhra Pradesh displayed a steadfast dedication to the democratic principles in the general elections.

Despite the shadow of violence looming over the electoral process, the voter turnout stood as a testament to their commitment, with an impressive 81.86% of registered electors casting their vote. The turnout was almost 2% increase when compared to the previous general elections in the State, which were held in 2019.

With the exit polls out now, psephologists predict a wind of change in the governance of Andhra Pradesh.

Though the line between the exit polls and the final results are drawn very clearly, the psephologists have been predicting that the increased voter turnout could be an indication of anti-incumbency in Andhra Pradesh, where the YSR Congress Party formed government in 2019 with a landslide victory of 151 MLAs.

On the other side, the leaders of the ruling party have been confident of forming the government after June 4, who trust on the welfare schemes doled out by Chief Minister Y.S. Jagan Mohan Reddy in the last five years.

There are reasons for anti-incumbency, both at the political and governance levels. The public suspected that there was a lack of transparency in governance, since the government was hiding most of the Government Orders (G.O.s) and gazettes. The Chief Minister failed to complete the Polavaram irrigation project and develop the capital city of Amaravati for the State. Though he proposed three capitals (Vizag as Executive capital, Amaravati as Legislative capital and Kurnool as Judiciary capital), he failed to develop even one.

But Mr. Jagan Mohan Reddy counters the allegation by saying that the opposition parties had approached courts and could bring stay orders, even before he could start the capital development work at every step.

These apart, the poll pundits say that other factors such as abnormal increase in electricity charges, uncontrolled prices of groceries, manifold increase in liquor prices, despite the Chief Minister promising a complete ban on liquor in a phased manner, could contribute to the anti-incumbency.

The people were also unhappy with the sale of unheard of brands and banning of regular brands of liquor, which the Opposition had highlighted by saying that it was affecting the health of the consumers.

Except for recruiting of the village and ward secretariat employees, there was no proper recruitment for vacant posts in the government, including Group 1, 2, 4 and others.

On the other hand, the government employees were also unhappy as Mr. Jagan Mohan Reddy failed in delivering his 2019 poll promise of removing the Contributory Pension Scheme (CPS). Instead, he introduced the Guaranteed Pensions Scheme (GPS), with which the majority of employees were not satisfied.

Though the government provided ₹13,500 per farming family per year, many farmers expected input subsidies. In addition to that, the prevailing drought condition in the election year became another cause for worry for the ruling party.

Mr. Jagan Mohan Reddy also failed to deliver his prime promise of constructing houses for 30 lakh people. Though he gave house sites of one cent (around 48 square yards) of land per beneficiary, he could not complete the construction of houses.

Meanwhile, the NDA alliance in Andhra Pradesh, which included the Telugu Desam Party, the Jana Sena Party and the BJP, released an attractive election manifesto by offering more welfare schemes, which dominated the existing welfare schemes of YSRCP.

At the end of the elections campaign, the NDA’s narrative on the A.P. Land Titling Act also might have an impact on the prospects of the ruling party.

But Mr. Naidu’s commitment to fulfilling the promises was also viewed sceptically, as he had failed to deliver the promises made in the 2014 manifesto, after winning the elections.

Mr. Jagan Mohan Reddy had left no stone unturned to highlight this aspect in every election campaign meeting.

On the other hand, despite majority of the exit polls not favouring the YSRCP, the Chief Minister and ruling party leaders are confident of forming the government for the second time as they think that the increased voter turnout will benefit them.

They have been saying that the increase in voter turnout, especially women, was a clear indication that the people were happy with schemes and so had turned out in large numbers.

In addition to that, the YSRCP sympathisers are also saying that the anti-incumbency vote would not consolidate towards the NDA alliance.

There is another argument by the YSRCP that the vote transfer between the TDP and Jana Sena did not happen, as desired, which is countered by the NDA alliance that did happen and it was similar to the 2014 election.

[pizzaaddict]

29 minutes ago, Raisins_72 said:

India today: 

NDA: 100+
 

YCP: 55-77

 

Pawan Kalyan + Modi 

 

Bjp south states ki ami chesindhi ani vote veyali ? Center blessings undali for funds etc ( cover drives : it is responsibility of state parties antaru ) & south parties demand chesina entha varaku care chestaro telsindhey.  

Non-bjp ruled states loney issues why ? Defame local parties in public by not releasing funds  and there by vote bank shift ayitadi aney agenda 

Another cover drive : funding anta ichesaru and data base undhi where follwers can only witness . Other people are either dumb or not educated enough to witness ani antaru. 

[Naaperushiva]

28 minutes ago, Sucker said:

2-4 MP seats 55 MLA not syncing . Max 20 MLA 

baa actually 55-65 sems right 2-4mp ey wrong...ippudu icchina numbers seems right

vallu MP 7-9 gelusthaaru.. i feel kootami 110 anukuntunna ninna idey anna choodam

[Pavanonline]

47 minutes ago, Raisins_72 said:

India today: 

NDA: 100+
 

YCP: 55-77

 

Pawan Kalyan + Modi 

 

These are more believable than yesterday's MP numbers 

[Naaperushiva]

1 minute ago, Pavanonline said:

These are more believable than yesterday's MP numbers 

avunu baa

[Trump_is_a_moron9]

16 minutes ago, Naaperushiva said:

baa actually 55-65 sems right 2-4mp ey wrong...ippudu icchina numbers seems right

vallu MP 7-9 gelusthaaru.. i feel kootami 110 anukuntunna ninna idey anna choodam

Maybe more than 4 win avtaru but even proportionately, MP seats takkuva ostai. I know one guy whose father is a village level YSRCP leader in Anakapalle parliament. Though their village YSRCP cader voted for YSRCP MLA, they voted for CM Ramesh in the MP contest. "Baga balsinodu and central party leader kada, emanna chestademo mana ooriki.. Chance ichi chuddam" ani ankunnaranta

[pakeer_saab]

1 hour ago, Raisins_72 said:

Get ready for 4K Graphix & PPt’s @Android_Halwa @vetrivel @reality 

No Criticism bro now that TDP is in NDA, malli YSRCP ki suffort istunnaru ani edchi sastaaru

[pakeer_saab]

3 hours ago, Naaperushiva said:

baa actually 55-65 sems right 2-4mp ey wrong...ippudu icchina numbers seems right

vallu MP 7-9 gelusthaaru.. i feel kootami 110 anukuntunna ninna idey anna choodam

MP's for YSRCP being low is reasonable, everyone is clear on Jaggad being useless for Centre, so low MP count is justified.

[appusri]

Just now, pakeer_saab said:

MP's for YSRCP being low is reasonable, everyone is clear on Jaggad being useless for Centre, so low MP count is justified.

Agreed. People don't want to vote for his MPs, but they want him to continue as CM. This is ground reality many people are ignoring.