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Enti ee recession nijemenaa


karna11

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1 hour ago, Joker23 said:

even a broken clock is right twice a day

No offence bro.. Idhi stupid line asala. How does anyone know when the time is right ?

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2 hours ago, southyx said:

Nijame anipisthundhi. May lo oka job poyindhi, June lo inko job poyindhi. Ippudu oka job thone saripettukuntunna.

silent_I1

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3 hours ago, southyx said:

Nijame anipisthundhi. May lo oka job poyindhi, June lo inko job poyindhi. Ippudu oka job thone saripettukuntunna.

ayyo….okka job tho ela vayya jeevitham gadipedi ?

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3 minutes ago, Assam_Bhayya said:

anthee naa??

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcR4fXsengG1tfgxWzL-_7M

nothing to worry ai telling bro 2021 nunchi telling recession ani 

tesla deliveries increased, new homes increased 

 

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8 hours ago, karna11 said:

https://youtu.be/5PiN5-WFkCM?si=zvJ9lRxY4qexymYR

She speaks with stats, it's little scary

Very good video. Must view for all. A lot of economists are indicating the same. But the dooms day scenario is always there.

you have to take this with a grain of salt. This year is the best year for stocks esp S&P. Real estate has not corrected since last 15 yrs. 
I do think there will be correction in stocks and real estate in 2025 or 2026 but not a dooms day. 
 

for some one to understand basics of economics this is a good video.

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The US economic slowdown is looking more threatening

Worrying signs in the labor market mean the Fed’s July meeting will point to policy easing sooner rather than later

On the surface, the US employment report for June looked pretty good. Some 206,000 jobs were added, which exceeded the 190,000 median estimate of more than five dozen economists surveyed by Bloomberg. Also, wage growth continued to moderate, easing concern that fast-rising earnings would underpin inflation. But peel back the curtains and you can clearly see why so many are worried the soft patch that the economy seems to have run into may get even softer — or worse.

The best place to start is with the revisions to recent monthly labour data. The Labor Department said 111,000 fewer jobs were created in April and May than originally reported. What that means is that monthly payrolls expanded by an average of 177,000 in the second quarter, down from 267,000 in the first three months of the year.

Digging a little deeper we find that the median time it takes for an unemployed worker to find a job rose to 9.8 weeks, the most since February 2022, according to Bloomberg News. On top of that, the number of temporary employees on payrolls tumbled by 48,900 in June, the most since April 2021. The takeaway here is that employers have little need for extra help because they see business demand softening. Those two data points help explain why continuing claims for unemployment applications, a ***** for the number of people receiving jobless benefits from the government, increased to 1.86 million in the week ended June 22, the highest since November 2021.

There are lots of caveats here. Although the unemployment rate ticked above 4% for the first time since November 2021, coming in at 4.1%, it’s mostly rising for the right reasons. In other words, the gain is not so much due to companies laying off workers, but rather an expansion in the labour force. This is allowing employers to become more picky when hiring workers and helping to slow the gains in wages that have helped underpin inflation.

Even so, it’s hard to avoid being concerned that the economy is in the midst of a sharp slowdown. Within the last two weeks alone, we have seen disappointing data from both the ISM manufacturing and services indexes, as well as big declines in new home sales and pending home sales that exceeded economists’ estimates. In fact, the numbers have been disappointing to a degree not seen since 2014, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. In response, the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s widely followed GDPNow Index, which aims to track growth in real time, has dropped to 1.55%, the lowest reading since December and down from above 4% as recently as May.

Powell also said he is on high alert for signs of softness in the labour market, but that the central bank can take its time before adjusting monetary policy. Based on this jobs report, time may be running out. Policymakers don’t meet to decide monetary policy until the end of the month, and while almost no one expects them to reduce interest rates then, do expect them to start flagging that a reduction is coming sooner rather than later.

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