JAFFA 2019 elections SURVEY RESULTS

[ARYA]

Well-known political advisor and strategist Prashant Kishor, who is currently assisting AP's Opposition Leader YS Jagan Mohan Reddy, said to have conducted a secret survey in AP with a cost of 8.5 Crore. According to sources, the survey was conducted only in 175 assembly constituencies (and not done in parliament constituencies) keeping that the sitting MLAs would be fielded for 2019 general elections again and over 500 samples were collected based on the above with 20 questionnaire during May 17 to May 30.

If survey results are anything to go by, TDP is going to win again in 2019 if the elections are conducted with the same MLAs. It's added that if the candidates of YSRCP are changed, TDP is expected to gain more.

Survey

114 Seats for TDP with 41 percent votes
49   Seats for YSRCP with 27 percent votes
10+ Seats for Janasena with 13 percent votes
2   Seats for Congress with 7 percent votes

Analysis 

As per the survey, it's learnt that CM's work and functioning has 70 percent while sitting MLA's performance has 30 percent influence on the votes in an Assembly Constituency on an average.

Plus Points for TDP

Going by the survey, 43 percent said to have opined that towns, villages have witnessed development compared to 2014, 25 percent felt that there's no development, 20 percent opined that development is average or satisfactory and the rest 12 percent said can't say.

- Capital
- Polavaram
- Pensions

The above three factors are said to have worked in favour of TDP as per the survey. It's said that Farm Loan Waiver is a great beneficiary for farmers and the farmers are happy with the TDP government for the benefit despite the fact that the state's financial position is bad. 

Kapus, Brahmins Supporting TDP

Thanks to setting up of special corporations for both Kapus and Brahmins and providing them funds for the uplifting the poor families in the communities, the majority in these communities are apparently supporting TDP. Foreign education offering to the students of the weaker families of these communities said to have won their support.

Minus Points for TDP

As TDP joined hands with BJP, Muslims and Christians are not keen to vote to TDP. Corruption at few levels of government and the poor functioning of officials are said to be the factors that are affecting TDP's prospects.

Minus Points for YSRCP

It's said that Opposition leader YS Jagan is declining his popularity day-by-day. Among people who wants to vote for YSRCP, 40 percent wants to vote because to see YS Jagan as CM while 60 percent opt for other options (including anti government vote). Apparently, the survey opined that people are unhappy with Jagan banking on Roja, Chevireddy Bhaskar Reddy, Vijay Sai Reddy, others. Among people who wants to vote for YSR Congress, 78 percent opined that Roja, Chevireddy are defaming Jagan. Apparently, Roja and Chevireddy's behaviour in the Assembly has worked against YSRCP.


Muslims and Christians are reportedly not trusting Jagan Reddy. Especially, after Jagan's meeting with PM Narendra Modi and announcing his party's support to BJP in Presidential election, minorities said to have their own apprehensions on Jagan. It's opined that YSRCP is personally attacking individuals rather than government's failures, problems of people.

Pawan Kalyan Factor

The Prashant Kishor survey says that Janasena hasn't reached deep into people yet although it's popular with youth. Despite Pawan fighting alone and raising issues once in a while, it's said that people opined that they don't have any opinion on Pawan's party yet. However, if Janasena contests alone, it's expected to divide TDP's vote share and that may help YSRCP to an extent. But Prashant seems to have not taken this into the account while doing the survey.

PS: On the whole, the TDP is leading while YSRCP is trailing as per the survey. However, the fact that elections are one-and-a-half year away from now, there could be many changes in the conditions affecting the results. So, both TDP and YSRCP have to take it seriously and work towards better governance and betterment of lives of people to score points in the next elections.

- source: gulte

[Kontekurradu]

jai jagan anna 

[Android_Halwa]

endo...secret survey antaru...public ga gulte.com la pedtaru..

idi kuda mana bhajana sena vinutna prayatnam emo..

[ARYA]

1 minute ago, Android_Halwa said:

endo...secret survey antaru...public ga gulte.com la pedtaru..

idi kuda mana bhajana sena vinutna prayatnam emo..

gulte is also kattapas approved bullitein like eenadu abnlk etc 

[Staysafebro]

If I was prashant kishore I would say exactly this. Orey neeku votlu padavu.. naa deggara chala manchi strategy undi.. nee campaign ni nenu manage chestha oka 100 kotlu naa mohana a padeyi ani.. 

[bondjamesbond]

2 hours ago, Staysafebro said:

If I was prashant kishore I would say exactly this. Orey neeku votlu padavu.. naa deggara chala manchi strategy undi.. nee campaign ni nenu manage chestha oka 100 kotlu naa mohana a padeyi ani.. 

prasanth neeanta cheap kadu 1000 crs adigadu 

maa jagan anna ivvaledu anukuni ela kolame kada 100 crs ante ....

[Annayya_fan]

2 hours ago, Android_Halwa said:

endo...secret survey antaru...public ga gulte.com la pedtaru..

idi kuda mana bhajana sena vinutna prayatnam emo..

[TOM_BHAYYA]

Jaffas ki arthanaadhale 

jayaho leader jayaho

[boeing747]

Brother anil vachu Yesssu namamuna ani mantram veste anni votes Jagananna ke padtai

[Annayya_fan]

1 minute ago, boeing747 said:

Brother anil vachu Yesssu namamuna ani mantram veste anni votes Jagananna ke padtai

 

[Feelingbad]

Survey ela vachina baaledhu aney chepthaadu.... Positive vuntey inka veediki employment ela....