***** TG elections on Dec-7******

[DammaDakkaDolly]

tight scenario ni theesukelli .... trs ki cake walk la chese la unnaru..... thupuk kutami

[reality]

1 hour ago, DaleSteyn1 said:

 

Video thumbnail endhi...”Kodanda ram ki Ponnala seatu istharani pracharam”...

[Android_Halwa]

Mujic started...

Nokinations last date varaku vuntadi ie lolli..

[rrc_2015]

15 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

Mujic started...

Nokinations last date varaku vuntadi ie lolli..

Last date eppudu ?? We want Gandhi Bhavan updates for WWF fights 

[CricPokChic]

25 minutes ago, rrc_2015 said:

Last date eppudu ?? We want Gandhi Bhavan updates for WWF fights 

nov 12th anukunta last date

[CricPokChic]

25 minutes ago, rrc_2015 said:

Last date eppudu ?? We want Gandhi Bhavan updates for WWF fights 

The date of the election is 7th December 2018 and the result will be out on 11 December 2018.

Event	Date	Day
Date for Nominations	12 Nov 2018	Monday
Last Date for filing Nominations	19 Nov 2018	Monday
Date for scrutiny of nominations	20 Nov 2018	Tuesday
Last date for withdrawal of candidatures	22 Nov 2018	Thursday
Date of poll	7 Dec 2018	Friday
Date of counting	11 Dec 2018	Tuesday
Date before which the election shall be completed	13 Dec 2018	Thursday

[Paidithalli]

[boeing747]

24 minutes ago, Paidithalli said:

kottandraa eedni

[reality]

17 hours ago, CricPokChic said:

ne analysis enti man?

TRS - 70 to 81 SEATS 

If you look at 2014 results, thats pure hardcore TRS voter base which got them 63 seats. Look at the majority margins, more than 85% of those are won with above 10,000 majority (unlike Congi or TDP seats). Many of them are with above 30,000 votes (Harish Rao 97,000).

Here is my calculation:

1. TRS Hardcore Base: 63 Seats

2. TRS has done nothing too bad to hurt majority of hardcore base, if even something is there, lets say -3 seats. (63-3)

3. Factors impacting results in remaining 56 seats as follows:

a. Neutrals to TRS conversion: +15%

b. Overall anti-incumbency: -4%

c. Vote conversion due to alliance: -3%

So here is the formuala:

(63-3) + 119* (15-4-3)%

= 60+119*8%

= 69.52

~ 70 Seats

If it performs well in Hyderabad (based on ghmc results) and Kammam, Mahabubnagar and Nalgonda.., it will fetch another 10 seats. So ~ 80 Seats.

Conclusion: TRS range 70-81 seats.

[tom bhayya]

2 minutes ago, reality said:

TRS - 70 to 81 SEATS 

If you look at 2014 results, thats pure hardcore TRS voter base which got them 63 seats. Look at the majority margins, more than 85% of those are won with above 10,000 majority (unlike Congi or TDP seats). Many of them are with above 30,000 votes (Harish Rao 97,000).

Here is my calculation:

1. TRS Hardcore Base: 63 Seats

2. TRS has done nothing too bad to hurt majority of hardcore base, if even something is there, lets say -3 seats. (63-3)

3. Factors impacting results in remaining 56 seats as follows:

a. Neutrals to TRS conversion: +15%

b. Overall anti-incumbency: -4%

c. Vote conversion due to alliance: -3%

So here is the formuala:

(63-3) + 119* (15-4-3)%

= 60+119*8%

= 69.52

~ 70 Seats

If it performs well in Hyderabad (based on ghmc results) and Kammam, Mahabubnagar and Nalgonda.., it will fetch another 10 seats. So ~ 80 Seats.

Conclusion: TRS range 70-81 seats.

100 seats ki thakkuva ledhu ani tarak anna cheppamannadu

[reality]

1 minute ago, tom bhayya said:

100 seats ki thakkuva ledhu ani tarak anna cheppamannadu

Not practical vayya...

BJP vadu CM avutha anudu, Revantham gadu CM avutha anudu etlano idhi anthe...just Salim pheku lekkalu.

[CricPokChic]

7 minutes ago, reality said:

TRS - 70 to 81 SEATS 

If you look at 2014 results, thats pure hardcore TRS voter base which got them 63 seats. Look at the majority margins, more than 85% of those are won with above 10,000 majority (unlike Congi or TDP seats). Many of them are with above 30,000 votes (Harish Rao 97,000).

Here is my calculation:

1. TRS Hardcore Base: 63 Seats

2. TRS has done nothing too bad to hurt majority of hardcore base, if even something is there, lets say -3 seats. (63-3)

3. Factors impacting results in remaining 56 seats as follows:

a. Neutrals to TRS conversion: +15%

b. Overall anti-incumbency: -4%

c. Vote conversion due to alliance: -3%

So here is the formuala:

(63-3) + 119* (15-4-3)%

= 60+119*8%

= 69.52

~ 70 Seats

If it performs well in Hyderabad (based on ghmc results) and Kammam, Mahabubnagar and Nalgonda.., it will fetch another 10 seats. So ~ 80 Seats.

Conclusion: TRS range 70-81 seats.

cool but mahakutami vallu gattiga pracharam cheste will the equation change?

rahul campaigning and sabhalu

sonia campaigning

CBN campaigning

revanth reddy speeches

all senior congress leaders spending huge

Gaddar to contest in gajwal

kodandaram Telangana battles 

osmania students 

bandla intense comedy

 

 

[tables]

1 minute ago, CricPokChic said:

cool but mahakutami vallu gattiga pracharam cheste will the equation change?

rahul campaigning and sabhalu

sonia campaigning

CBN campaigning

revanth reddy speeches

all senior congress leaders spending huge

Gaddar to contest in gajwal

kodandaram Telangana battles 

osmania students 

bandla intense comedy

 

 

Agreed, this one will definitely change the equation.

[tables]

2 minutes ago, CricPokChic said:

cool but mahakutami vallu gattiga pracharam cheste will the equation change?

rahul campaigning and sabhalu

sonia campaigning

CBN campaigning

revanth reddy speeches

all senior congress leaders spending huge

Gaddar to contest in gajwal

kodandaram Telangana battles 

osmania students 

bandla intense comedy

 

 

no senior leader this time can go and campaign for others... trs kuda strong players ne field chesindi... komati, dk aruna, revant, jana, uttam - veelake chala tough fight untadi.

[CricPokChic]

Telugu360

 

✔@Telugu360

 · 2h

 

Replying to @Telugu360

This poll survey of November, week 2, done for ABP News and Republic TV has a total sample size of 67,848 for five States, with 13,624 in Telangana

Telugu360

 

✔@Telugu360

 

C-Voter Seat Projection :

Cong + TDP 64
TRS 42
BJP 4
Others 9#TelanganaElections2018

 

11:08 AM - Nov 9, 2018