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Andhra Pradesh 2019 Elections prediction


DaleSteyn1

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2 hours ago, DaleSteyn1 said:

Andharu post cheyandi mee predictions e first post lo consolidate chestha.Kindha unna format follow avvandi

My prediction:

Assembly:

YCP  110-115

TDP  55-60

JSP  5-10

 

Parliament:

YCP  18-20

TDP  5-7

JSP 0

------------------------------------

Jambakrantu

YCP 100 to 120

TDP 55 to 60

JSP 5 to 10

-----------------------------

YSRCP 125+

TDP 40+

JSP 5-10

Others 2-3

 

 

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7 minutes ago, ARYA said:

thats what I'm saying...38 mlas tdp sitting in 2 gozils and vizag, 95% seats tdp will loose or end up as 3rd place, these are the battle ground seats for 2019

Yes 2009 lo prp poti chesinappudu tu go pago lo 34 seats lo around 10 to 15 tdp third place ochindhi same adhe repeat

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1 hour ago, manadonga said:

West ycp geliche seats candidates evaro oka 5 seats cheppu chalu 

Swing unnappudu candidates matter kadu.. Look at 2004 YSRs candidates.. Lot of new faces.. Ultimate gaa AP lo local leaders konta varake roll play chestaru that too very strong leaders like JCDiwakarReddy etc rest everything is based on situations in state, current leader of the party, caste equations etc.. Money panchi geliche rojulu aipoyaay.. Janaalu money teeskuni lopaliki velli vallaki nachina candidate ke guddutaru.. Ee sari raptadu lo Paritala sunitha odipovatam tadhyam.. More than the opposition candidate it's the anti incumbency wave..

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1 hour ago, ARYA said:

tdp 100 seats aa cops vote base poyindi, BC vote base poyindi , chistain, SC, ST vote base poyondi, reddy vote base poyindi daniki toodu anti incumbency, inka nuvvu cheppina 100 seats ravalantee aliens AP lo vote register cheskoni vote eyyali CBN ki ...em yellow dream land lo unnav man Image result for brahmi popcorn eating gif

Its my opinion based on my understanding in conversations with family and friends 

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10 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

Swing unnappudu candidates matter kadu.. Look at 2004 YSRs candidates.. Lot of new faces.. Ultimate gaa AP lo local leaders konta varake roll play chestaru that too very strong leaders like JCDiwakarReddy etc rest everything is based on situations in state, current leader of the party, caste equations etc.. Money panchi geliche rojulu aipoyaay.. Janaalu money teeskuni lopaliki velli vallaki nachina candidate ke guddutaru.. Ee sari raptadu lo Paritala sunitha odipovatam tadhyam.. More than the opposition candidate it's the anti incumbency wave..

Anta strong wave ledu ani naa feeling let see 

ycp weakness as we seen 

strong cader and leadership leka povadam in kostal districts 

money pette leaders tappa local ga tirigina incharges ki tickets ivvaka povadam

janalani poling booths ki techhe mechanisam leka povadam 

dharama in srikakulam botsa in vijayanagaram 

vijayawada li lagadapati raja gopal lanti string leaders vunnaru 2004 lo they are weak now  

lagadapati and indrakiran reddy are only 2 leaders followed of ysr that time 

guntur lo khanna and rayapati are strong leaders 

west lo kavuri and maganti babu and kanumuri bapiraju are there in 2004 lo strong established 

Previously cities lo congress baaga strong ga vundedhi but cities aa strong ness ledu ycp ki 

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6 minutes ago, manadonga said:

Anta strong wave ledu ani naa feeling let see 

ycp weakness as we seen 

strong cader and leadership leka povadam in kostal districts 

money pette leaders tappa local ga tirigina incharges ki tickets ivvaka povadam

janalani poling booths ki techhe mechanisam leka povadam 

dharama in srikakulam botsa in vijayanagaram 

vijayawada li lagadapati raja gopal lanti string leaders vunnaru 2004 lo they are weak now  

lagadapati and indrakiran reddy are only 2 leaders followed of ysr that time 

guntur lo khanna and rayapati are strong leaders 

west lo kavuri and maganti babu and kanumuri bapiraju are there in 2004 lo strong established 

Previously cities lo congress baaga strong ga vundedhi but cities aa strong ness ledu ycp ki 

Nuvvu post chesindhi shittiest asalu voting ki nuvvu cheppe sollu sambandhame ledhu neeku asalu godari zillas lo settibalija vs kaps untadhi evaru evarki vote em telvadhu poi nfdb lo sollu antha techi esthav. Media lo vinna perla tho rajakeeyam nadavadhu nuvvu nee sollu post

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42 minutes ago, manadonga said:

Anta strong wave ledu ani naa feeling let see 

ycp weakness as we seen 

strong cader and leadership leka povadam in kostal districts 

money pette leaders tappa local ga tirigina incharges ki tickets ivvaka povadam

janalani poling booths ki techhe mechanisam leka povadam 

dharama in srikakulam botsa in vijayanagaram 

vijayawada li lagadapati raja gopal lanti string leaders vunnaru 2004 lo they are weak now  

lagadapati and indrakiran reddy are only 2 leaders followed of ysr that time 

guntur lo khanna and rayapati are strong leaders 

west lo kavuri and maganti babu and kanumuri bapiraju are there in 2004 lo strong established 

Previously cities lo congress baaga strong ga vundedhi but cities aa strong ness ledu ycp ki 

Kavuri, Kanumuri bapiraju, Magantibabu vellanta anta strong kadu.. Wave batti ellalsinde..Anta strong leaders aite last time foti chesevallu..Irrespective of wave gelavagalige leaders AP lo hardly 10 members untaremo..

YCP became a lot more organized this time compared to last time.. Last time anta disorganized gaa unde they won 67 seats. This time Jagan had the time to meet every ground level leader during his pada yatra.. social media kooda chala pick aindi. Till 2014 social media was completely TDP biased ippudu social media lo TDP ni football adukuntunnaru..

Coastal districts will strongly support Jagan this time because Jagan has spent a lot of time there. Also caste equations have significantly changed there since 2014..

Also cities lo TDP ki unna support last time because of Modi Wave. Lot of educated people supported CBN because of Modi. Ee sari they are completely against CBN..

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TDP's only hope are the welfare schemes. But Jagan will announce even bigger schemes in his manifesto when the election code comes into effect..So he will neutralize any effect..

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Last election ki ipatiki with jsp introduction, tdp ki bokka padutundi, yscp valla vote bank em poledu, like in 2009 tdp will say due to jsp(apatlo prp ipudu jsp)  we lost ani ;) 

Pedda bokka for both tdp and yscp this time is, tdp alliance with inc, also cbn’s stupid comments about pak during recent attacks, with <3months to go, 

yscp ki pedda bokka ante trs tho pothu, tg lo inc ki ela affect padindo due to their alliance with tdp, same situation ap lo autundi for yscp

idharu ah alliance or support vishayam lo pedda mistake chesaru, ledante easy ayedi for one of them

wat say @Spartan @TOM_BHAYYA Uncles

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1 minute ago, perugu_vada said:

Last election ki ipatiki with jsp introduction, tdp ki bokka padutundi, yscp valla vote bank em poledu, like in 2009 tdp will say due to jsp(apatlo prp ipudu jsp)  we lost ani ;) 

Pedda bokka for both tdp and yscp this time is, tdp alliance with inc, also cbn’s stupid comments about pak during recent attacks, with <3months to go, 

yscp ki pedda bokka ante trs tho pothu, tg lo inc ki ela affect padindo due to their alliance with tdp, same situation ap lo autundi for yscp

idharu ah alliance or support vishayam lo pedda mistake chesaru, ledante easy ayedi for one of them

At least YCP is openly supporting BJP and TRS.. TDP did a self goal by meeting Rahul and honoring with a Saluva..

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2 minutes ago, perugu_vada said:

Last election ki ipatiki with jsp introduction, tdp ki bokka padutundi, yscp valla vote bank em poledu, like in 2009 tdp will say due to jsp(apatlo prp ipudu jsp)  we lost ani ;) 

Pedda bokka for both tdp and yscp this time is, tdp alliance with inc, also cbn’s stupid comments about pak during recent attacks, with <3months to go, 

yscp ki pedda bokka ante trs tho pothu, tg lo inc ki ela affect padindo due to their alliance with tdp, same situation ap lo autundi for yscp

idharu ah alliance or support vishayam lo pedda mistake chesaru, ledante easy ayedi for one of them

wat say @Spartan @TOM_BHAYYA Uncles

i somehow sense...CBN will be back to power with Pawanal support...

YCP will grow bigger with number of seats...

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