Nobel Prize winning economist Robert Shiller says that the state of the economy, housing and stock markets, combined with continued low interest rates, could mean the U.S. is due for a recession.
However, he says that human behavior makes it very difficult to make predictions. The Trump administration and extreme weather events haven’t affected markets...yet.
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/19/robert-shiller-greater-than-average-chance-of-recession-in-18-months.html