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13 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

Results vachina tarvatha, aa dynamics analysis untadi.

YCP lekka:

2014 lo TDP + JSP + BJP > YCP by 2% (6% from UA to GUntur, -4% from Prakasam and Rayalaseema). this time, all votes gotten by BJP and JSP are simply coming from the same pool as last time and so YCP is clear case winner

Padayatra and Nava ratnalu will help

Poll Management ee sari pakka ga jarigindi ani talk

 

TDP Lekka:

YSR wave was more in 2012, slightly decreased by 2014 elections and that wave decreased much further by 2019. Most of the voters that favour welfare schemes voted for TDP because of Pensions and Pasupu Kumkam

Most of the Muslim votes (got nothin in 2014 because of BJP tie-up) turned in favor of TDP this time because YCP's pro BJP stance

In some constituencies, due to the caste of JSP candidates, equations may have favoured TDP. TDP will also lose in some constituencies because of JSP.

Pro TRS stance of Jagan will help fetch some votes.

 

 

Veetillo ee factors baga influence chesayi anedi elections tarvatha telustundi. I am trusting Lagadapati this time just because his TG survey flopped and so he may have done some extra work to ensure it wont flop again this time or he will lose his entire credibility.

 

Just because I trust Lagadapati, its not final result. We will have to wait for 19th to see all exit poll results and 23rd for final result.

Lovadapati corrst ga cheppina Karnataka, TG lekka na baa

 

Vadu ee stunt lu vesede betting la kosam. Karnataka kuda okasari chusko. Ika veedu cheppina correct survey lu nuv veyyu baa vunte. Nandhyal by poll , 2014 thappa :giggle:

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1 hour ago, Sucker said:

Lovadapati corrst ga cheppina Karnataka, TG lekka na baa

 

Vadu ee stunt lu vesede betting la kosam. Karnataka kuda okasari chusko. Ika veedu cheppina correct survey lu nuv veyyu baa vunte. Nandhyal by poll , 2014 thappa :giggle:

Karnataka lo em seppadu ? 

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3 hours ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

Results vachina tarvatha, aa dynamics analysis untadi.

YCP lekka:

2014 lo TDP + JSP + BJP > YCP by 2% (6% from UA to GUntur, -4% from Prakasam and Rayalaseema). this time, all votes gotten by BJP and JSP are simply coming from the same pool as last time and so YCP is clear case winner

Padayatra and Nava ratnalu will help

Poll Management ee sari pakka ga jarigindi ani talk

 

TDP Lekka:

YSR wave was more in 2012, slightly decreased by 2014 elections and that wave decreased much further by 2019. Most of the voters that favour welfare schemes voted for TDP because of Pensions and Pasupu Kumkam

Most of the Muslim votes (got nothin in 2014 because of BJP tie-up) turned in favor of TDP this time because YCP's pro BJP stance

In some constituencies, due to the caste of JSP candidates, equations may have favoured TDP. TDP will also lose in some constituencies because of JSP.

Pro TRS stance of Jagan will help fetch some votes.

 

 

Veetillo ee factors baga influence chesayi anedi elections tarvatha telustundi. I am trusting Lagadapati this time just because his TG survey flopped and so he may have done some extra work to ensure it wont flop again this time or he will lose his entire credibility.

 

Just because I trust Lagadapati, its not final result. We will have to wait for 19th to see all exit poll results and 23rd for final result.

TDP lekka :- TDP depended only on Pasupu Kumkuma and old age pensions. Swayana JC Diwakar reddy ae cheppadu pasupu kumkuma ledhu ante memu MG'poyi untamu ani

YCP pro BJP stance anedi , TDP valu chesina drushpracharamo ledha election engineering anukovachu, endukante Center lo vachedi BJP so jagan BJP tho kalusthadu ani, kani ippudu talk ela nadusthundi center lo congress kuda ravachu ani nadusthundi, jagan congress tho kuda kalavachu, so complete blame game anedi nadichindi, Kani TDP ee vishyam lo flop ayindi , to be honest minority votes ekkada deviate avvaledhu, gampa guthi gane YCP ki paddayi those all are part of congress vote bank

Jana sena valla TDP ke dis advantage ayindi , manam oka example ga Bheemavaram tisukunte TDP kanchukota, sare Pawan gelusthadu anukundam , kani TDP 3rd position ki vellipoyindi, these equations has destroyed TDP in godavari districts, Praja Rajyam ede pani chesindi 2009 lo, what tdp did it went nexsus with jana sena this has destroyed jana sena speculations, jana sena ki vache seat lu kuda raniyakunda chesindi, anduke villa iddarini musugu veerulu annaru

Pro TRS stance valla em jarigindi ante , TDP ekkada ayithe dabbulu ekkuva ga karchu pettali anukundo akkada block chesaru, ade time srujana chowdhary ED attachments jarigayi, this was complete blow to TDP

Lagadapati eppudu ayithe TDP pro ayyado he lost his credibility, Lagadapati honest ga TRS gelusthadi ani cheppi unte dani effect AP meeda undedi, reverse ga emi ayindi TRS bumper majority tho gelichindi

elections avvakamundu or elections ayyaka ilanti yadava comparisons cheppakandi bhayya. he always favors TDP. Lekunte lagadapati ni TDP lo ki ravali ani CBN enduku invite chesthadu

 

 

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10 minutes ago, bhaigan said:

TDP lekka :- TDP depended only on Pasupu Kumkuma and old age pensions. Swayana JC Diwakar reddy ae cheppadu pasupu kumkuma ledhu ante memu MG'poyi untamu ani

YCP pro BJP stance anedi , TDP valu chesina drushpracharamo ledha election engineering anukovachu, endukante Center lo vachedi BJP so jagan BJP tho kalusthadu ani, kani ippudu talk ela nadusthundi center lo congress kuda ravachu ani nadusthundi, jagan congress tho kuda kalavachu, so complete blame game anedi nadichindi, Kani TDP ee vishyam lo flop ayindi , to be honest minority votes ekkada deviate avvaledhu, gampa guthi gane YCP ki paddayi those all are part of congress vote bank

Jana sena valla TDP ke dis advantage ayindi , manam oka example ga Bheemavaram tisukunte TDP kanchukota, sare Pawan gelusthadu anukundam , kani TDP 3rd position ki vellipoyindi, these equations has destroyed TDP in godavari districts, Praja Rajyam ede pani chesindi 2009 lo

Pro TRS stance valla em jarigindi ante , TDP ekkada ayithe dabbulu ekkuva ga karchu pettali anukundo akkada block chesaru, ade time srujana chowdhary ED attachments jarigayi, this was complete blow to TDP

Lagadapati eppudu ayithe TDP pro ayyado he lost his credibility, Lagadapati honest ga TRS gelusthadi ani cheppi unte dani effect AP meeda undedi, reverse ga emi ayindi TRS bumper majority to gelichindi

elections avvakamundu or elections ayyaka ilanti yadava comparisons cheppakandi bhayya. he always favors TDP. Lekunte lagadapati TDP lo ki ravali ani CBN enduku invite chesthadu

 

 

ippudu emantav, l@vadapati ni belive cheyaku, Fan gelusthadhi antava.

vakkey sml_gallery_51737_7_1531504.gif

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1 hour ago, maidhanam1 said:

ippudu emantav, l@vadapati ni belive cheyaku, Fan gelusthadhi antava.

vakkey sml_gallery_51737_7_1531504.gif

If you want to believe lavadapati , it's upto you, I dont care

for me he already lost his credibility

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Srikakulam District
Ichapuram - TDP
Palasa - TDP
Amudalavalasa - TDP
Tekkali - TDP
Srikakulam - TDP
Narsannapeta - YSRCP
Pathapatnam - YSRCP
Palakonda(ST) - YSRCP
Raajam(SC) - TDP
Echerla - TDP

Vijayanagaram District
Bobbili - TDP
Chipurupalli - YSRCP
Gajapathinagaram - YSRCP
Vijayanagaram - TDP
Nellimarla - YSRCP
Parvathipuram(SC) - TDP
Kurupam(ST) - YSRCP
Saluru(ST) - TDP
S.Kota - TDP

Visakahptanm District
VZG EAST - TDP
VZG SOUTH - TDP
VZG NORTH - TDP
VZG WEST - TDP
Bhimili - YSRCP
Gajuwaka - YSRCP
Pendurthi - TDP
Anakapalli - TDP
Yalamanchili - TDP
Chodavaram - YSRCP
Madugula - TDP
Narsipatnam - TDP
Payakraopeta(SC) - YSRCP
Paderu(ST) - TDP
Araku(ST) - YSRCP

East Godhavari District
Rampachodavaram(ST) - TDP
Jaggampeta - TDP
Peddapuram - TDP
Prathipadu - TDP
Tuni - YSRCP
Pitapuram - YSRCP
KKD CITY - YSRCP
KKD RURAL - TDP
Mummidivaram - TDP
Amalapuram(SC) - YSRCP
P Gannavaram(SC) - YSRCP
Razole - YSRCP
Kothapeta - YSRCP
Mandapeta - TDP
Ramachandapuram - TDP
Anaparthi - YSRCP 
Rajanagaram - TDP
RJY Rural - TDP
RJY City - TDP     
 
West Godhavari District
Kovvuru(SC) - TDP
Gopalapuram(SC) - TDP
Nidadhavolu - YSRCP
Achanta - YSRCP
Narsapuram - YSRCP
Palakollu - TDP
Bhimavaram - JSP
Undi - TDP
Thadepalligudem - YSRCP
Tanuku - TDP
Chinthalapudi(SC) - TDP
Polavaram(ST) - TDP
Unguturu - TDP
Eluru - TDP
Denduluru - TDP

Krishna District
Kaikaluru - YSRCP
Nuzivedu - TDP
Thiruvuru(SC) - Tight
Mylavaram - TDP
Nandigama - YSRCP
Jggayyapeta - TDP
VJA WEST - TDP
VJA CENTRAL - Tight
VJA EAST - TDP
Penamaluru - TDP
Gudiwada - TDP
Pamarru(SC) - Tight (TDP Chance)
Pedana - TDP
Gannavaram - TDP
Machilipatnam - TDP
Avanigadda - Tight  ( స్వతంత్ర అభ్యర్ధి ఓట్లు 6,000 or 7,000 మించి చీల్చకపోతే టీడీపీ లేదా వైసీపీ ఎడ్జ్)

Guntur District
Tenali - TDP
Ponnuru - TDP
Mangalagiri - TDP
Thadikonda(SC) - TDP
Prathipadu(SC) - Tight
GNT EAST - YSRCP
GNT WEST - TDP
Pedakurapadu - TDP
Sattenapalli - Tight
Narsaraopeta - YSRCP
Gurajala - TDP
Macherla - Tight
Vinukonda - TDP
Chilakaluripeta - TDP
Vemuru(SC) - TDP
Repalle - TDP
Bapatla - TDP

Prakasam District
Chirala - TDP
Parchuru - TDP
S N Padu - YSRCP
Addanki - TDP
Ongole - TDP
Darsi - YSRCP
Yerragondapalem(SC) - YSRCP
Markapuram - YSRCP
Giddaluru - YSRCP
Kanigiri - Tight
Kondepi - TDP
Kandukuru - TDP

Nellore District
Kavali - YSRCP
Udayagiri - YSRCP
Atmakuru - Tight
Kovvuru - TDP
NLR CITY  - TDP
NLR RURAL - YSRCP
Sarvepalli - TDP
Venkatagiri - YSRCP
Guduru(SC) - TDP
Sullurupeta(SC) - YSRCP

Chitoor District
Satyavedu(SC) - TDP
Srikalahasthi - YSRCP
Thirupathi - YSRCP
Chandragiri - TDP
Puthalapattu - TDP
NAGIRI - TDP
Chitthoor - TDP
Palamaner - TDP
GD Nellore(SC) - TDP
Kuppam - TDP
Punganuru - YSRCP
Madanapalli - YSRCP
Thamballapalli - YSRCP
Pileru - TDP

Kadapa District
Rajampeta - YSRCP
Rayachoti - YSRCP
R Koduru(SC) - YSRCP
Badvel(SC) - YSRCP
Pulivendula - YSRCP
Prodduturu - YSRCP
Jammalamadugu - TDP
Kadapa - YSRCP
Kamalapuram - YSRCP
Mydukuru - TDP

Kurnool District
Allagadda - TDP
Nandyala - YSRCP
Banaganapalle - TDP
Nandikotkuru(SC) - TDP
Panyam - TDP
Srisailam - Tight
Patthikonda - YSRCP
Dhone  -  TDP
Adhoni - YSRCP
Aluru - YSRCP
Yemmiganuru - TDP
Mantralayam - YSRCP
Kodumuru(SC) - TDP
Kurnool - TDP

Ananthapuram District
Thadipatri - TDP
Gunthakal - Tight
Uravakonda - TDP
Rayadurgam - TDP
Kalyanadurgam - Tight
Ananthapur Urban - YSRCP
Singanamala(SC) - YSRCP
Kadiri - TDP
Dharmavaram - TDP
Rapthadu - TDP
Penugonda - TDP
Puttaparthi - YSRCP
Hindupur - TDP
Madakashira(SC) - TDP

TDP - 103
YCP - 59
Tight - 12
JSP - 1

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33 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

Srikakulam District
Ichapuram - TDP
Palasa - TDP
Amudalavalasa - TDP
Tekkali - TDP
Srikakulam - TDP
Narsannapeta - YSRCP
Pathapatnam - YSRCP
Palakonda(ST) - YSRCP
Raajam(SC) - TDP
Echerla - TDP

Vijayanagaram District
Bobbili - TDP
Chipurupalli - YSRCP
Gajapathinagaram - YSRCP
Vijayanagaram - TDP
Nellimarla - YSRCP
Parvathipuram(SC) - TDP
Kurupam(ST) - YSRCP
Saluru(ST) - TDP
S.Kota - TDP

Visakahptanm District
VZG EAST - TDP
VZG SOUTH - TDP
VZG NORTH - TDP
VZG WEST - TDP
Bhimili - YSRCP
Gajuwaka - YSRCP
Pendurthi - TDP
Anakapalli - TDP
Yalamanchili - TDP
Chodavaram - YSRCP
Madugula - TDP
Narsipatnam - TDP
Payakraopeta(SC) - YSRCP
Paderu(ST) - TDP
Araku(ST) - YSRCP

East Godhavari District
Rampachodavaram(ST) - TDP
Jaggampeta - TDP
Peddapuram - TDP
Prathipadu - TDP
Tuni - YSRCP
Pitapuram - YSRCP
KKD CITY - YSRCP
KKD RURAL - TDP
Mummidivaram - TDP
Amalapuram(SC) - YSRCP
P Gannavaram(SC) - YSRCP
Razole - YSRCP
Kothapeta - YSRCP
Mandapeta - TDP
Ramachandapuram - TDP
Anaparthi - YSRCP 
Rajanagaram - TDP
RJY Rural - TDP
RJY City - TDP     
 
West Godhavari District
Kovvuru(SC) - TDP
Gopalapuram(SC) - TDP
Nidadhavolu - YSRCP
Achanta - YSRCP
Narsapuram - YSRCP
Palakollu - TDP
Bhimavaram - JSP
Undi - TDP
Thadepalligudem - YSRCP
Tanuku - TDP
Chinthalapudi(SC) - TDP
Polavaram(ST) - TDP
Unguturu - TDP
Eluru - TDP
Denduluru - TDP

Krishna District
Kaikaluru - YSRCP
Nuzivedu - TDP
Thiruvuru(SC) - Tight
Mylavaram - TDP
Nandigama - YSRCP
Jggayyapeta - TDP
VJA WEST - TDP
VJA CENTRAL - Tight
VJA EAST - TDP
Penamaluru - TDP
Gudiwada - TDP
Pamarru(SC) - Tight (TDP Chance)
Pedana - TDP
Gannavaram - TDP
Machilipatnam - TDP
Avanigadda - Tight  ( స్వతంత్ర అభ్యర్ధి ఓట్లు 6,000 or 7,000 మించి చీల్చకపోతే టీడీపీ లేదా వైసీపీ ఎడ్జ్)

Guntur District
Tenali - TDP
Ponnuru - TDP
Mangalagiri - TDP
Thadikonda(SC) - TDP
Prathipadu(SC) - Tight
GNT EAST - YSRCP
GNT WEST - TDP
Pedakurapadu - TDP
Sattenapalli - Tight
Narsaraopeta - YSRCP
Gurajala - TDP
Macherla - Tight
Vinukonda - TDP
Chilakaluripeta - TDP
Vemuru(SC) - TDP
Repalle - TDP
Bapatla - TDP

Prakasam District
Chirala - TDP
Parchuru - TDP
S N Padu - YSRCP
Addanki - TDP
Ongole - TDP
Darsi - YSRCP
Yerragondapalem(SC) - YSRCP
Markapuram - YSRCP
Giddaluru - YSRCP
Kanigiri - Tight
Kondepi - TDP
Kandukuru - TDP

Nellore District
Kavali - YSRCP
Udayagiri - YSRCP
Atmakuru - Tight
Kovvuru - TDP
NLR CITY  - TDP
NLR RURAL - YSRCP
Sarvepalli - TDP
Venkatagiri - YSRCP
Guduru(SC) - TDP
Sullurupeta(SC) - YSRCP

Chitoor District
Satyavedu(SC) - TDP
Srikalahasthi - YSRCP
Thirupathi - YSRCP
Chandragiri - TDP
Puthalapattu - TDP
NAGIRI - TDP
Chitthoor - TDP
Palamaner - TDP
GD Nellore(SC) - TDP
Kuppam - TDP
Punganuru - YSRCP
Madanapalli - YSRCP
Thamballapalli - YSRCP
Pileru - TDP

Kadapa District
Rajampeta - YSRCP
Rayachoti - YSRCP
R Koduru(SC) - YSRCP
Badvel(SC) - YSRCP
Pulivendula - YSRCP
Prodduturu - YSRCP
Jammalamadugu - TDP
Kadapa - YSRCP
Kamalapuram - YSRCP
Mydukuru - TDP

Kurnool District
Allagadda - TDP
Nandyala - YSRCP
Banaganapalle - TDP
Nandikotkuru(SC) - TDP
Panyam - TDP
Srisailam - Tight
Patthikonda - YSRCP
Dhone  -  TDP
Adhoni - YSRCP
Aluru - YSRCP
Yemmiganuru - TDP
Mantralayam - YSRCP
Kodumuru(SC) - TDP
Kurnool - TDP

Ananthapuram District
Thadipatri - TDP
Gunthakal - Tight
Uravakonda - TDP
Rayadurgam - TDP
Kalyanadurgam - Tight
Ananthapur Urban - YSRCP
Singanamala(SC) - YSRCP
Kadiri - TDP
Dharmavaram - TDP
Rapthadu - TDP
Penugonda - TDP
Puttaparthi - YSRCP
Hindupur - TDP
Madakashira(SC) - TDP

TDP - 103
YCP - 59
Tight - 12
JSP - 1

enti edi lagadapati survey results aa

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Banks ki loans repay seyyataaniki matram money vundavu.

but surveys chepinchataaniki matram money vasthayee veediki.

Malli veediki pilla congress support. 

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5 minutes ago, AndhraneedSCS said:

ani antunaru mari. I didn't get it directly from him though 

ivala evening etu exit polls chepesthadu kada lets see

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7 hours ago, bhaigan said:

ivala evening etu exit polls chepesthadu kada lets see

Nee estimation cheppu bro

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