My reasons for TDP loss.

[Paidithalli]

I am an NRI, so I don't know ground reality. Whatever I understood is what I gleaned from reading news & various forums and my analysis based on observing of human nature. I was suspecting TDP loss from some time, but refrained from posting due to people taking constructive criticism as negativity in this DB. I believe CBN did a very good job in running the state, but failed to garner the confidence of people. I am not devaluing his contributions to the party or state, so don't think of me as his hater. I liked his rule in 2014-19 lot better than his earlier stint. He became more mature and learnt from his past mistakes, but repeated many of his earlier mistakes.

Here is my dissection for this brutal loss. Of course all of it may not be true, so take it with a pinch of salt. There are many other valid reasons given by others. So I am limiting my dissection to CBN's actions and decisions this term.

1) Neutrals and BCs might have moved away.

a) Lot of neutrals moved away due to corruption allegations on MLAs. CBN didn't act decisively this time. I am suspecting this from me reading complaints online about his rule.

b) Too much Kapu appeasement. What is the use of sponsoring oc kids to USA higher education? Will they fetch any votes? All the news bytes always are some thing for Kapus. I don't know if kapus voted for CBN, but if I were a BC, I'd have moved away from TDP.

2) He projected weakness this term. 

a) Always playing victim card won't work. Rather he should have projected the people as victims and he as savior. In stead the projection in AJ was that state was doing fine and everyone was out to get CBN.

b) Not acting decisively on opponents, be it KCR, or fighting for Andhra rights. Telangana gave a jolt to Andhra by grabbing all assets in the beginning and irrigation projects. CBN didn't inspire confidence when he didn't take precautions on such an important matter. The entire Andhra govt. acted as if helpless. The two-eyed theory from CBN's point was right from TDP's perspective because of the need to keep TDP alive in both states. But from Andhra point of view, it made CBN weak due to confrontation less approach toward Telangana in the first few years. 

c) Not being decisive with wayward MLAs/MPs. The way people like Ali, Adala, Amanchi etc, behaved in the last few months shows that he lost the plot.

3) CBN's leadership qualities need to improve.

a) He should have delegated more and relaxed a little bit. I work for a demanding boss and have to be on call 24 hours. I can imagine the pain of people working for him. It doesn't inspire loyalty and is actually demotivating to tier-2 leaders and they tend to do only the minimum required. A good leader actually works less and gives freedom and motivation for hard working tier-2 people to grow. CBN put most of the fiery youth like Galla on leash for many years to not confront BJP in the beginning.

b) With CBN everything is about numbers.  I used to roll over eyes whenever reading news about CBN telling people's satisfaction increased by 5% or 10% or whatever. This type of CEOs bring short term profits for companies , but the company goes to ground in the long term because they ignore the human interaction aspect. Let loose the tier-2 leaders who are hard working and groom them for bigger role in the party. 

4) CBN failed in the art of managing expectations, no he actually himself created this impossible to achieve expectations for himself.

a) Too much publicity from rags like AJ actually did more harm than good. In other regions, they imagined CBN spending all the money on Amaravati. In places like Krishna, most of the people didn't see any material improvement in their life, and so got jealous of the land owners getting rich. WTF is it with AJ covering everything as panduga, utshavam, thiyanni kaburu, shubavartha?

b) Too much graphics of amaravati created a big hurdle for CBN. It raised the expectations to very high level which are impossible to meet for any one. Lets say if someone says they will jump to moon. Even if they jump 1000 km to reach stratosphere, people will make fun and devalue that jump of 1000km. But on the other hand, if people think you can't jump 1 m high, but you jump 2m, people will think  great of that achievement. 

c) Same on Polavaram; publicizing such tight deadlines to public and giving them to contractors is bad. Things won't get completed within such 0-margin deadlines because there is no margin for error. The contractors have to spend lot more if they have to complete something in 2 months vs 1 year. It gives your opponents a weapon to attack you. And neutrals will think less of you if things are not completed. 

5) I had a friend in BTech who worked very hard and who bragged a lot. The rest of class moved away from him. I guess something like this must have happened with him and BJP leadership.

[Paidithalli]

The simple truth is that his style of leadership suits the corprate world more than a messed up democracy like India. 

[Paidithalli]

But Jagan has not fought for state on even one issue and wont and I agree your points

[Paidithalli]

Poll mgmt is only part of election it is complete sweep from people

[Paidithalli]

For me;

1) pk leaving us

2) Rahul baba kanduva kappatam

[Paidithalli]

By tomorrow we will know what damage PK did. It looks mostly due to him only. Rahul baba kanduva bad thing. He did it for short term gain in TG elections. He could have waited like KCR or Naveen babu not aligning with any one before elections. This CBN love towards TG or determination to bring down KCR has made him to hug Rahul, which could be a bad step.

[Paidithalli]

Defnitely agree with weakness part.... every day carrying the victim card in speech 

next thing i think is backign wrong ppl. like sujana chow .. getting him place in central cabinte is a blunder.. instead should have made some one from BC or other caste or religion to keep the votes in tacts of those communities... backed many ppl despite IT raids.. instead he should have let them proved that they are innocent... lastly the media managemetn.. AJ etc channels too much hype and least ground coverage resulted in this disaster... 

[Paidithalli]

Someone from younger generation has to take the leadership if TDP has to come into power for next election. 

[Paidithalli]

[Paidithalli]

ichhana 350 crs back ki tesukokunte delhi vache vadu kadu uncle. a help kooda cheyakunda kill chesi padesaru.

[Paidithalli]

Agree. I though it was just interim list. I looked at full constituency list and this is my opinion:

"

Bro except the above, PK didn't damage anywhere else. In fact he didn't get even considerable votes. I looked at constituency wise data on EC website and it is clear that people wanted to give chance to Jagan.

There are huge % margin difference between YSRCP and TDP starting from Srikakulam to West Godavari. It looks BCs swinged towards YSRCP and kapus votes went 1-2% to PK (not much beyond that). And as usual Rayalaseema complete one side voting to YSRCP, including Ananthapur (Where we got max in 2014)."

[Paidithalli]

For me .

1. Youth are not connecting with Bob or Lokesh. I don't think TDP will better in this area even next election. 

2. TG lo stphen /MLC buying  episode and it showed CBN is no different. 

3. first two years, he wasted sometime at HYD by not moving to Amaraathi. 

4. benefits online transfer = good in general but it removed people touch 

[The_Mentalist]

4 minutes ago, Paidithalli said:

For me;

1) pk leaving us

2) Rahul baba kanduva kappatam

Nuvvu antha sollu anni points mention chesina tharvatha kuda malli 1) 2) ani points rasav chudu

Akkada na manasu dhochukunnav

[ariel]

3) CBN's leadership qualities need to improve.

manam rabandula madyalo bratukutunnam survival daggare unte fight epudu chestaru ?

technology lo improvements lanti evm tampering jarugutunte open ga kaneesam adi teleledu 

 

 

[soodhilodaaram]

3 minutes ago, Paidithalli said:

I am an NRI, so I don't know ground reality. Whatever I understood is what I gleaned from reading news & various forums and my analysis based on observing of human nature. I was suspecting TDP loss from some time, but refrained from posting due to people taking constructive criticism as negativity in this DB. I believe CBN did a very good job in running the state, but failed to garner the confidence of people. I am not devaluing his contributions to the party or state, so don't think of me as his hater. I liked his rule in 2014-19 lot better than his earlier stint. He became more mature and learnt from his past mistakes, but repeated many of his earlier mistakes.

Here is my dissection for this brutal loss. Of course all of it may not be true, so take it with a pinch of salt. There are many other valid reasons given by others. So I am limiting my dissection to CBN's actions and decisions this term.

1) Neutrals and BCs might have moved away.

a) Lot of neutrals moved away due to corruption allegations on MLAs. CBN didn't act decisively this time. I am suspecting this from me reading complaints online about his rule.

b) Too much Kapu appeasement. What is the use of sponsoring oc kids to USA higher education? Will they fetch any votes? All the news bytes always are some thing for Kapus. I don't know if kapus voted for CBN, but if I were a BC, I'd have moved away from TDP.

2) He projected weakness this term. 

a) Always playing victim card won't work. Rather he should have projected the people as victims and he as savior. In stead the projection in AJ was that state was doing fine and everyone was out to get CBN.

b) Not acting decisively on opponents, be it KCR, or fighting for Andhra rights. Telangana gave a jolt to Andhra by grabbing all assets in the beginning and irrigation projects. CBN didn't inspire confidence when he didn't take precautions on such an important matter. The entire Andhra govt. acted as if helpless. The two-eyed theory from CBN's point was right from TDP's perspective because of the need to keep TDP alive in both states. But from Andhra point of view, it made CBN weak due to confrontation less approach toward Telangana in the first few years. 

c) Not being decisive with wayward MLAs/MPs. The way people like Ali, Adala, Amanchi etc, behaved in the last few months shows that he lost the plot.

3) CBN's leadership qualities need to improve.

a) He should have delegated more and relaxed a little bit. I work for a demanding boss and have to be on call 24 hours. I can imagine the pain of people working for him. It doesn't inspire loyalty and is actually demotivating to tier-2 leaders and they tend to do only the minimum required. A good leader actually works less and gives freedom and motivation for hard working tier-2 people to grow. CBN put most of the fiery youth like Galla on leash for many years to not confront BJP in the beginning.

b) With CBN everything is about numbers.  I used to roll over eyes whenever reading news about CBN telling people's satisfaction increased by 5% or 10% or whatever. This type of CEOs bring short term profits for companies , but the company goes to ground in the long term because they ignore the human interaction aspect. Let loose the tier-2 leaders who are hard working and groom them for bigger role in the party. 

4) CBN failed in the art of managing expectations, no he actually himself created this impossible to achieve expectations for himself.

a) Too much publicity from rags like AJ actually did more harm than good. In other regions, they imagined CBN spending all the money on Amaravati. In places like Krishna, most of the people didn't see any material improvement in their life, and so got jealous of the land owners getting rich. WTF is it with AJ covering everything as panduga, utshavam, thiyanni kaburu, shubavartha?

b) Too much graphics of amaravati created a big hurdle for CBN. It raised the expectations to very high level which are impossible to meet for any one. Lets say if someone says they will jump to moon. Even if they jump 1000 km to reach stratosphere, people will make fun and devalue that jump of 1000km. But on the other hand, if people think you can't jump 1 m high, but you jump 2m, people will think  great of that achievement. 

c) Same on Polavaram; publicizing such tight deadlines to public and giving them to contractors is bad. Things won't get completed within such 0-margin deadlines because there is no margin for error. The contractors have to spend lot more if they have to complete something in 2 months vs 1 year. It gives your opponents a weapon to attack you. And neutrals will think less of you if things are not completed. 

5) I had a friend in BTech who worked very hard and who bragged a lot. The rest of class moved away from him. I guess something like this must have happened with him and BJP leadership.

all those stated above can happen to anyone

according to me, all CBN's mistakes lie in the last on year

1. people gave mandata to CBN in 2014 because he is good enough to get things done.. not fight

2. CBN rode on Modi's wave in 2014, this is missing in 2019

3. CBN was spending more time in center which appeared like he is weak and needs support from other jokers and cannot get things done

4. gave an impression to common public that he is losing and introducing scheme to stop his loss

5. the most important aspect is TDP cre vote base is BC's and they are anti congress  and hence natural supporters of BJP too, this time BC's voted for YSRCP as they had no choice of anti congress option in AP, even i dont agree.. YSRCP portrayed themselves as anti congress and actually worked well for them

TDP core foundation is anti congress, 'IT LOST THE DAY IT ALLIED WITH CONGRESS'.. people no longer had trust in CBN as he messed up relations with neighboring state and centre pretty badly