Andhra Politics Future Yenti?

[Tyler_durden]

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Pakkaki mingey ra nuvvu. 

[futureofandhra]

18 minutes ago, prasadr said:

Recently had a frank discussion with few people regarding Andhra Politics,

Lot of interesting observations, wanted to share with you.

 

Some basic facts ->

1. Caste rules in Andhra.

2. Muslims + Christians are firmly in Jagan's corner.

3. Brahmins are completely devoid of political power.

These are the 3 facts we agreed up on, the third one regarding Brahmins was a surprise but we went to 2014 elections & under TDP + Alliance, not a single Brahmin was in play. Hard to believe but that was a fact.

 

Jagan firmly has Reddy + Christian + Muslim votes firmly in his favor

Naidu has Kammas + Chowdharies in his favor

 

That leaves SC, ST, Kapus & BC.

 

in 2019 elections BC were one of the biggest factors in Jagan getting that landslide. Literally it was the BC that destroyed Naidu. Kapus vote splitting cost Naidu dear as well.

 

Some observations at this point ->

1. Base vote % of Jagan right now is much higher than base vote % of Naidu. This is due to ever increasing number of Christian converts cutting across caste lines. This number is going to increase multifold under Jagan in next 5 years. Meaning in 2024, Jagan would start off with even a bigger % guaranteed vote base than in 2019.

2. Naidu & TDP is a spent force. On his own, TDP is never making a come back in Andhra. 

3. Caste politics will not help any party win in Andhra against Jagan, since he has Caste + Religion working for him.

4. BJP is NOT projected to be a major force by 2024, no matter how much they shout.

5. BJP is also done with Naidu. May not be with TDP but BJP is never going to allow Naidu back into NDA.

 

What this means ->

Jagan is playing a very clever game.

He is overtly being supported by Christians and Muslims. These 2 groups are going to the rock for Jagan. TDP and BJP has no chance in hell in pulling these 2 groups to their side.

The religion consolidation has already happened in Andhra. No one wants to say it out aloud since it's not "nice" to point at the so called secular vote consolidation.

So, at this point, any opposition to Jagan at Caste level would NEVER WORK.

 

So, how does TDP come back ->

1. Hindu consolidation. Make peace with all castes, including Reddy's. There are literally thousands of Reddy's like me who would love to shaft Jagan but can't bear to look at the Bolli Naidu.

2. Make peace with BJP. I have lot of respect for TDP cadre but TDP cadre is completely inept at playing the game for Hindu consolidation. BJP can & they have in many states.

3. To make peace with BJP, Naidu must go. May be project his son (useless guy) or get some one else....but as long as Naidu is there, this will never happen. Heck, Modi did not even acknowledge birthday wishes from Naidu.

4. BJP needs to make peace with TDP as well. Amit Shah needs to climb down and understand the ground realities and start process of accepting overtures from TDP.

5. Identify core issues, like religious conversion, converted Christians enjoying SC/OBC benefits and Hindu temples being run or employing non-Hindus.

6. Last but not least, empower Brahmins. May not seem much but they are like 8-10% of AP and that would increase base % of TDP or BJP by that much % immediately.

 

There literally is no calculation that brings TDP or BJP winning on their own.

 

Making peace and Hindu consolidation is the only way forward to win against the Christian + Muslim + Reddy dominance of Jagan.

Naidu has kammas + chowdary support aa lol 😂

AP will be the best state bcoz of it's acceptance to everything

Moreover kaliyuga vaikuntam in AP 

When things go wrong swamy takes care of them

 

[Android_Halwa]

Chidambaram lantollane jail la padesinaru....CBN aathu mukka...

I'm sure CBN will taste jail food for sure before the turn of next elections...

[futureofandhra]

Just now, Android_Halwa said:

Chidambaram lantollane jail la padesinaru....CBN aathu mukka...

I'm sure CBN will taste jail food for sure before the turn of next elections...

Revenge na lol 😂

Gali gadey bayataki came 

Cbn Ni em peekaleru 

He got nothing now also 

[Android_Halwa]

3 minutes ago, futureofandhra said:

Revenge na lol 😂

Gali gadey bayataki came 

Cbn Ni em peekaleru 

He got nothing now also 

Akariki CBN lantodini Gaali tho compare chesukovalsi vastundi

aina bedaru, ipudu vunnadi BJP sarkar kabatti Gaali gadu bayataki vachindu

mari CBN ni evaru bayataki teesukostaru ?

[JambaKrantu]

4 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

Chidambaram lantollane jail la padesinaru....CBN aathu mukka...

I'm sure CBN will taste jail food for sure before the turn of next elections...

CBN going to jail is 100% confirmed. They just want to wait and do it such a way that he will not have enough time to gather sympathy around it.. If they throw him in jail now he will come out on bail in 6 to 12 months and try to do a padayatra to garner sympathy. You have to time the arrest right so that the cadre will lose moral completely and face a disastrous election result so that another party can take over the base...

[futureofandhra]

Just now, Android_Halwa said:

Akariki CBN lantodini Gaali tho compare chesukovalsi vastundi

aina bedaru, ipudu vunnadi BJP sarkar kabatti Gaali gadu bayataki vachindu

mari CBN ni evaru bayataki teesukostaru ?

Cbn politics lo peekedhi emundhi Inka 

Chiddu gadu aa gang ni gelikadu poyadu 

Pushpam batch ki no gain in doing it 

Vestey gistey neethi nijayithi symbol jaggu ki vuntadhi atleast to grab power

Avasaram lekunda tg create ayedhey kadhu

Antha Power maya

[futureofandhra]

2 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

CBN going to jail is 100% confirmed. They just want to wait and do it such a way that he will not have enough time to gather sympathy around it.. If they throw him in jail now he will come out on bail in 6 to 12 months and try to do a padayatra to garner sympathy. You have to time the arrest right so that the cadre will lose moral completely and face a disastrous election result so that another party can take over the base...

Lol simple logic 😂

Cbn can't do anything now

Jail lo vestey pushpam batch ki no use power jaggu hands

[JambaKrantu]

Just now, futureofandhra said:

Lol simple logic 😂

Cbn can't do anything now

Jail lo vestey pushpam batch ki no use power jaggu hands

Just because a snake is almost dead you don't leave it on the floor, it can always try to gather strength and crawl and bite you again. Better kill the snake completely.. BJP especially Modi and Shah know what CBN tried to do before 2019 general elections by trying to gather people and form a third front against Modi.. Modi and Shah have not forgotten all the insults hurled at them by CBN before 2019..Remember all the black dresses, modi go back hungama, amit shah go back hungama when they came to AP.. Amit Shah meeda cheppul sanghatana by TDP cadre, do you think he will forget.. You have to pay for what you did, CBN should have known that before completely losing it against Modi, Shah, Jagan and KCR..No one literally no one will come to his rescue now..CBN will be in jail and there will be no help offered to him..

[futureofandhra]

1 minute ago, JambaKrantu said:

Just because a snake is almost dead you don't leave it on the floor, it can always try to gather strength and crawl and bite you again. Better kill the snake completely.. BJP especially Modi and Shah know what CBN tried to do before 2019 general elections by trying to gather people and form a third front against Modi.. Modi and Shah have not forgotten all the insults hurled at them by CBN before 2019..Remember all the black dresses, modi go back hungama, amit shah go back hungama when they came to AP.. Amit Shah meeda cheppul sanghatana by TDP cadre, do you think he will forget.. You have to pay for what you did, CBN should have known that before completely losing it against Modi, Shah, Jagan and KCR..No one literally no one will come to his rescue now..CBN will be in jail and there will be no help offered to him..

Let's see who will end up in jail

My opinion is unless there is use they won't

They wanted to defeat him they did it

[JambaKrantu]

12 minutes ago, futureofandhra said:

Let's see who will end up in jail

My opinion is unless there is use they won't

They wanted to defeat him they did it

There is use man, by sending CBN to jail and killing TDP there will be a political vaccum for an opposition party in the state, even if BJP gets some of that vote they will be happy with it. Also remember Jaggus base of Reddys(traditionally congress in AP), Muslims and christians(anti BJP) and pro-congress BCs are not in BJP's reach. But TDPs cadre - Kammas and some BCs can be easily turned towards BJP..

[prasadr]

1 hour ago, Migilindi23 said:

 

Entanta idi

oops, should be kammas + rajus, am  I getting that right?

[dasara_bullodu]

Just a matter of time before TDP comes back and win easily

[dasara_bullodu]

1 hour ago, Android_Halwa said:

Chidambaram lantollane jail la padesinaru....CBN aathu mukka...

I'm sure CBN will taste jail food for sure before the turn of next elections...

Jail emundi rendu rojulu unte bail vastadi ... current CM e poyadu jail ki idemundi

[Migilindi23]

1 minute ago, dasara_bullodu said:

Just a matter of time before TDP comes back and win easily

Where can i buy such Dream machine?