Andhra Politics Future Yenti?

[prasadr]

This is getting weird,

Not the good kind of weird

But

the kind of weird where you don't know to be terrified or excited.

 

Please stop turning political threads into weird thread....pretty please

[9Krishna]

Pawan CM

[Maradalu]

[TheBrahmabull]

10 hours ago, prasadr said:

Recently had a frank discussion with few people regarding Andhra Politics,

Lot of interesting observations, wanted to share with you.

 

Some basic facts ->

1. Caste rules in Andhra.

2. Muslims + Christians are firmly in Jagan's corner.

3. Brahmins are completely devoid of political power.

These are the 3 facts we agreed up on, the third one regarding Brahmins was a surprise but we went to 2014 elections & under TDP + Alliance, not a single Brahmin was in play. Hard to believe but that was a fact.

 

Jagan firmly has Reddy + Christian + Muslim votes firmly in his favor

Naidu has Kammas + Chowdharies in his favor

 

That leaves SC, ST, Kapus & BC.

 

in 2019 elections BC were one of the biggest factors in Jagan getting that landslide. Literally it was the BC that destroyed Naidu. Kapus vote splitting cost Naidu dear as well.

 

Some observations at this point ->

1. Base vote % of Jagan right now is much higher than base vote % of Naidu. This is due to ever increasing number of Christian converts cutting across caste lines. This number is going to increase multifold under Jagan in next 5 years. Meaning in 2024, Jagan would start off with even a bigger % guaranteed vote base than in 2019.

2. Naidu & TDP is a spent force. On his own, TDP is never making a come back in Andhra. 

3. Caste politics will not help any party win in Andhra against Jagan, since he has Caste + Religion working for him.

4. BJP is NOT projected to be a major force by 2024, no matter how much they shout.

5. BJP is also done with Naidu. May not be with TDP but BJP is never going to allow Naidu back into NDA.

 

What this means ->

Jagan is playing a very clever game.

He is overtly being supported by Christians and Muslims. These 2 groups are going to the rock for Jagan. TDP and BJP has no chance in hell in pulling these 2 groups to their side.

The religion consolidation has already happened in Andhra. No one wants to say it out aloud since it's not "nice" to point at the so called secular vote consolidation.

So, at this point, any opposition to Jagan at Caste level would NEVER WORK.

 

So, how does TDP come back ->

1. Hindu consolidation. Make peace with all castes, including Reddy's. There are literally thousands of Reddy's like me who would love to shaft Jagan but can't bear to look at the Bolli Naidu.

2. Make peace with BJP. I have lot of respect for TDP cadre but TDP cadre is completely inept at playing the game for Hindu consolidation. BJP can & they have in many states.

3. To make peace with BJP, Naidu must go. May be project his son (useless guy) or get some one else....but as long as Naidu is there, this will never happen. Heck, Modi did not even acknowledge birthday wishes from Naidu.

4. BJP needs to make peace with TDP as well. Amit Shah needs to climb down and understand the ground realities and start process of accepting overtures from TDP.

5. Identify core issues, like religious conversion, converted Christians enjoying SC/OBC benefits and Hindu temples being run or employing non-Hindus.

6. Last but not least, empower Brahmins. May not seem much but they are like 8-10% of AP and that would increase base % of TDP or BJP by that much % immediately.

 

There literally is no calculation that brings TDP or BJP winning on their own.

 

Making peace and Hindu consolidation is the only way forward to win against the Christian + Muslim + Reddy dominance of Jagan.

manchi manchi methavulu disco chesirru aithey...

[Hydrockers]

52 minutes ago, TheBrahmabull said:

manchi manchi methavulu disco chesirru aithey...

[aakathaai333]

Arey pesaadu nee mushti analysis madichi ekkadaina ettukoo basic gaa kaaps ki ap lo vote Bank ekkuva. Vaallu evarikesthe aade CM. 

[dasara_bullodu]

10 hours ago, Migilindi23 said:

Where can i buy such Dream machine?

It’s in Donakonda bro

[Idassamed]

1 hour ago, aakathaai333 said:

Arey pesaadu nee mushti analysis madichi ekkadaina ettukoo basic gaa kaaps ki ap lo vote Bank ekkuva. Vaallu evarikesthe aade CM. 

Swing voters antava baa.

[aakathaai333]

2 minutes ago, Idassamed said:

Swing voters antava baa.

swing voters mana kaada thakkuve untaaru baa chaala mandhi mundhe decide aipothaaru edho urban areas lo akkadakkada  untaaru swing voters

[kaamaberry]

1 hour ago, aakathaai333 said:

Arey pesaadu nee mushti analysis madichi ekkadaina ettukoo basic gaa kaaps ki ap lo vote Bank ekkuva. Vaallu evarikesthe aade CM. 

Atta aithe pk cm avvali 

[9Krishna]

pawanalu PM kavale

[9Krishna]

Pawanalu US president avvale

[aakathaai333]

8 minutes ago, kaamaberry said:

Atta aithe pk cm avvali 

pk gaadiki cops hand ichesaaru gaa godzilal cops ekkuva ycp ke guddhaaru 

[shaw183]

a boat teyandi vayya evaranaaa politics pakaki petiii plz.

[Justice_Chowdary]

13 hours ago, prasadr said:

Recently had a frank discussion with few people regarding Andhra Politics,

Lot of interesting observations, wanted to share with you.

 

Some basic facts ->

1. Caste rules in Andhra.

2. Muslims + Christians are firmly in Jagan's corner.

3. Brahmins are completely devoid of political power.

These are the 3 facts we agreed up on, the third one regarding Brahmins was a surprise but we went to 2014 elections & under TDP + Alliance, not a single Brahmin was in play. Hard to believe but that was a fact.

 

Jagan firmly has Reddy + Christian + Muslim votes firmly in his favor

Naidu has Kammas + Chowdharies in his favor

 

That leaves SC, ST, Kapus & BC.

 

in 2019 elections BC were one of the biggest factors in Jagan getting that landslide. Literally it was the BC that destroyed Naidu. Kapus vote splitting cost Naidu dear as well.

 

Some observations at this point ->

1. Base vote % of Jagan right now is much higher than base vote % of Naidu. This is due to ever increasing number of Christian converts cutting across caste lines. This number is going to increase multifold under Jagan in next 5 years. Meaning in 2024, Jagan would start off with even a bigger % guaranteed vote base than in 2019.

2. Naidu & TDP is a spent force. On his own, TDP is never making a come back in Andhra. 

3. Caste politics will not help any party win in Andhra against Jagan, since he has Caste + Religion working for him.

4. BJP is NOT projected to be a major force by 2024, no matter how much they shout.

5. BJP is also done with Naidu. May not be with TDP but BJP is never going to allow Naidu back into NDA.

 

What this means ->

Jagan is playing a very clever game.

He is overtly being supported by Christians and Muslims. These 2 groups are going to the rock for Jagan. TDP and BJP has no chance in hell in pulling these 2 groups to their side.

The religion consolidation has already happened in Andhra. No one wants to say it out aloud since it's not "nice" to point at the so called secular vote consolidation.

So, at this point, any opposition to Jagan at Caste level would NEVER WORK.

 

So, how does TDP come back ->

1. Hindu consolidation. Make peace with all castes, including Reddy's. There are literally thousands of Reddy's like me who would love to shaft Jagan but can't bear to look at the Bolli Naidu.

2. Make peace with BJP. I have lot of respect for TDP cadre but TDP cadre is completely inept at playing the game for Hindu consolidation. BJP can & they have in many states.

3. To make peace with BJP, Naidu must go. May be project his son (useless guy) or get some one else....but as long as Naidu is there, this will never happen. Heck, Modi did not even acknowledge birthday wishes from Naidu.

4. BJP needs to make peace with TDP as well. Amit Shah needs to climb down and understand the ground realities and start process of accepting overtures from TDP.

5. Identify core issues, like religious conversion, converted Christians enjoying SC/OBC benefits and Hindu temples being run or employing non-Hindus.

6. Last but not least, empower Brahmins. May not seem much but they are like 8-10% of AP and that would increase base % of TDP or BJP by that much % immediately.

 

There literally is no calculation that brings TDP or BJP winning on their own.

 

Making peace and Hindu consolidation is the only way forward to win against the Christian + Muslim + Reddy dominance of Jagan.

rei nee analysis madisi G lo pettuko.

Pedha kula gajji kukka laga unnav.

Stop crying and get a life you loser Ahole.