https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/us-economic-recession-tracker/?utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook&utm_content=businessweek&utm_campaign=socialflow-organic&cmpid=socialflow-facebook-business&fbclid=IwAR2CsXdEaR_VTH3yf4bgAvmVz7FhjOqPsHn6knn9aZ3Ep0W1lD5nZWC1TfY   more analysis in the link