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Treasury Secretary Mnuchin does not expect recession from the coronavirus


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  • “Later in the year, obviously the economic activity will pick up as we confront this virus,” Mnuchin said Sunday. 
  • Mnuchin’s comments came after the U.S. stock market tumbled last week, ending the longest bull market on record. 
  • But others, such as former Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Alan Blinder and Gary Cohn, former White House economic advisor, think the U.S. is already in a recession. 

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  • A new economic-growth estimate from JPMorgan projects that a recession will hit the US and European economies by July.
  • The bank said its views of the coronavirus outbreak "have evolved dramatically in recent weeks." JPMorgan economists now expect US GDP to shrink by 2% in the first quarter and 3% in the second.
  • Eurozone GDP could contract by 1.8% and 3.3% over the same periods, the economists added.
  • The "sudden stop" to economic activity through quarantines, event cancellations, and social distancing contributed to the downward revision, alongside recent weeks of financial-market chaos.
  • "As we resign ourselves to the inevitability of a large and broad-based shock," nations' economic policy responses are key to preventing an even longer downturn, the economists added.
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