Leading virus model revises U.S. estimates downward, others disagree

[tacobell fan]

The glimmer of potential good news came on the same day New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo said his state may already be experiencing a “flattening of the curve.” But experts cautioned against vesting too much confidence in any single model or data point.

[tacobell fan]

A leading model used by the White House to chart the pandemic predicted that the U.S. may need fewer hospital beds and ventilators than previously projected and states may reach their peak of covid-19 deaths sooner than expected. 

Not every model agrees. Experts continued to steel themselves for grim weeks ahead, noting that the model created by the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) conflicts with many other models showing higher equipment shortages, deaths and projected peaks.

[tacobell fan]

The stark differences between the IHME model and dozens of others being created by states exposes the glaring lack of national models provided publicly by the White House or agencies such as the CDC for local leaders to use in planning or preparation.

[tacobell fan]

Some state leaders have also grown increasingly concerned about how the federal government is using IHME’s lower estimates to deny states’ increasingly desperate requests for equipment and help in preparations.

[perugu_vada]

WA, CA lo bsne thaggaay emo kada ?

[LazyRohit]

47 minutes ago, perugu_vada said:

WA, CA lo bsne thaggaay emo kada ?

WA better