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Prediction 2020 Election


HugoStrange

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10 minutes ago, veerigadu said:

Motthaniki swing antha red antav anthena.....Baga bias ga undhi nee review. But we will see

well. if the lead for Biden in these swing states is in the margin of error , then it is difficult to predict. 

i feel that it depends on voter turnout. 2016 kanta bhaga ekkuva vasthe , then Biden will win.  lets see

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8 minutes ago, JambaKrantu said:

I think PA will go blue this time..

 

From 1992 to 2016 six straight contests was Blue,

2016 - When tremp got in, it made it to Red, however the majority diff tremp got is only 0.7%

This time also tremp is contesting, so hard to say imo...

2 reasons it can go red from my theory:

2016 they elected tremp even tho they had all blue, look at their history and from 1992 to 2016 its blue but still in 2016 they got red elected. 

The history also says a very close and tight calls between red and blue since 1952 if i am not wrong, so there is highly enough chance for red to make it. 

And about the rallies which make a huge diff - Yesterday Tremp made 3 big ralleies in Allentown, Lititz and Martinsburg, PA making big promises on Oil and energy industries which Biden failed during his past.

Biden did say that he gonna eradicate the oil and renew the energy, but later he clarified that he is not going to completely eradicate the oils, lol a read flag right here.. he just gave a wonderful chance to tremp here. and he picked it up...this is all what happened recently with PA if you follow the news. Chances here could go more to red than Blue, JMO

we would only know on Tuesday.. 

  

 

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3 minutes ago, rajahmundry_bullodu said:

well. if the lead for Biden in these swing states is in the margin of error , then it is difficult to predict. 

i feel that it depends on voter turnout. 2016 kanta bhaga ekkuva vasthe , then Biden will win.  lets see

Nalla moonjalu 2016 lo votes sarriga veyale....Not even as much as they voted in 2012. eee sari BLM effect baga undhi nenude oorilo ayithe Georgia etc. I'm assuming same with PA. 

TX konchem hard emo blue ki. but FL ayithe there is a decent chance

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16 minutes ago, veerigadu said:

Motthaniki swing antha red antav anthena.....Baga bias ga undhi nee review. But we will see

Please Follow my other posts in this thread.,, cant retype all along again... 

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* Blue Collar white dominated Rust Belt states(Wisconsin, Minnesota, PA, Ohio, Michigan, etc) are moving towards Red....... Too much of minority pampering by Dems is swinging these traditional Democratic white votes to Republican.

* Black and Hispanic Growing  Sunbelt states(Georgia, North Carolina, Texas & Arizona) are moving towards Dems..... I doubt these states will turn blue in this election...... But by 2030 Dems will dominate and turn these into Solid blue states.

 

Swing states lo Republicans ki edge untadi till 2025.

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4 hours ago, HugoStrange said:

My prediction is Bid*n thatha gelusthadu with more than 350, am expecting it will be close to 400. Senate kuda Dems ki pothundi with min 52 anukuntunna. Lets see what happens a week from now. 

I agree with your prediction about Biden winning, but 400 kastame. Last time ante Trump came with empty baggage and said "I'm an outsider...ee politicians vunnaree...anesi, Drain the swamp anagane independents antha guddaru. Moreover Hillary had that negative feeling developed by Fox for many years and it paid out in 2016. Last moment lo Comey investigation also helped flip PA and MI. 

Not the case anymore now. Past 60 years lo leni swamp motham manodu 4 years lo chupinchadu. Administration nunchi baitikochina prathi vodu thatha ni tittinode... starting from Sean Spicer, Scaramucchi, Rex Tillerson, Mcmaster, Jeff sessions, John bolton...you name it.

Biden dont carry that negative rating with him and is seen as a moderate democrat unlike Sanders and AOC(radically socialistic). Kamalakkai is a negative for dems. Monna sunday 60 minutes interview lo thala thoka lekunda answers ischindi, trying to use race/women card all the time. It may piss off some ppl. Thatha posindanitho polisthe it is still lesser anuko.

My prediction is Biden may get 340-360. He will flip PA, MI, WI, FL, NC, AZ....possibly GA, IA or OH.

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3 minutes ago, akkum_bakkum said:

I agree with your prediction about Biden winning, but 400 kastame. Last time ante Trump came with empty baggage and said "I'm an outsider...ee politicians vunnaree...anesi, Drain the swamp anagane independents antha guddaru. Moreover Hillary had that negative feeling developed by Fox for many years and it paid out in 2016. Last moment lo Comey investigation also helped flip PA and MI. 

Not the case anymore now. Past 60 years lo leni swamp motham manodu 4 years lo chupinchadu. Administration nunchi baitikochina prathi vodu thatha ni tittinode... starting from Sean Spicer, Scaramucchi, Rex Tillerson, Mcmaster, Jeff sessions, John bolton...you name it.

Biden dont carry that negative rating with him and is seen as a moderate democrat unlike Sanders and AOC(radically socialistic). Kamalakkai is a negative for dems. Monna sunday 60 minutes interview lo thala thoka lekunda answers ischindi, trying to use race/women card all the time. It may piss off some ppl. Thatha posindanitho polisthe it is still lesser anuko.

My prediction is Biden may get 340-360. He will flip PA, MI, WI, FL, NC, AZ....possibly GA, IA or OH.

cc @Sucker . please do the needful. 340 -360 for biden anta....

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4 hours ago, r2d2 said:

D420.. CITI_c$y

pp7PL.png

TX kooda blue aa :3D_Smiles:. Trump may lose

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5 hours ago, HugoStrange said:

One week undi exact ga. mee predictions cheppandi vayya. Kottukokunda cheppandi, just mee analysis, edemi TDP vs YCP kadu. Just for fun enthavaraku correct ga predict chesamo chusukundam

My prediction is Bid*n thatha gelusthadu with more than 350, am expecting it will be close to 400. Senate kuda Dems ki pothundi with min 52 anukuntunna. Lets see what happens a week from now. 

trump negali, more GC's spillover avali.

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19 minutes ago, Deadp0ol2 said:

TX kooda blue aa :3D_Smiles:. Trump may lose

relax, thats just some baseless prediction, 

TX was never blue since 1980 to till date, dems can try to turn it to blue, but they arent even close to it.

 

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