akkum_bakkum Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 3 hours ago, BeerBob123 said: Fresno FO TG link untey 10gandi Sry bro cant find it in TG groups. Kansas City FO https://t.me/+9SBHNasvge81OGNh San Diego FO https://t.me/+-G34V2FJV_01MDNh Albany FO https://t.me/joinchat/lP7RohMH7_A4MGJh Santa Ana FO https://t.me/joinchat/hI2zfqnKLGNhNDZh Omaha FO: https://t.me/OmahaFO Phoenix FO: https://t.me/+uHjNzUMAYMQwN2Fh Newark FO: https://t.me/joinchat/G7J7tvNer1F5Q0HZ SJ FO: https://t.me/+WsJyrWd7qv03MmUx LA FO: https://t.me/LAFODiscussion Hialeah FO: https://t.me/+_kBQYZxZtdM1NWVh San Antonio FO: https://t.me/+JvgiWUgeQNE1M2Jh Philadelphia FO: https://t.me/+RvBflyWsjUEwOThh Kendall FO: https://t.me/+HkfVlqhYOV5mMjMx Oklahoma City FO: https://t.me/+GwbXvs1pXSIxNzUx San Fernando FO: @sfvfo NYC FO: https://t.me/+c_hUd2gNiCVmNjZk Miami FO: https://t.me/+Xud_UKuQMdhjMzgx Brooklyn FO: https://t.me/+PesyFHXzPiFjNWVh SFO FO: https://t.me/+Y04NGZd86cA5Yjgx Portland Maine FO: https://t.me/+RtnNp0Mkj8xjODdh ---------------- Denver, CO: https://t.me/joinchat/GVlsv2JpAg1AmIdB GA: https://t.me/joinchat/IjfSAYzfMkdTRHWd Atlanta, GA: https://t.me/joinchat/GzH199ZvTgxTIE8-, https://t.me/joinchat/G_LNFANLOqPamu2t Chicago, IL: https://t.me/joinchat/FPyHKe5AVjz7dGvD, https://t.me/joinchat/SpJ35RT8hyl3YebV-3Rrww Indianapolis, : https://t.me/joinchat/GLVMSNWcduxorTW5 Boston, MA: https://t.me/joinchat/Hj_u9mvKwI84HCEf Baltimore, MD: https://t.me/joinchat/IQSgQ-2absxHxWkP Detroit, MI link to - https://t.me/+XYtg_uqOfnDa8F6e MN: https://t.me/joinchat/IYA6YmrJfD3qNwgZ, https://t.me/joinchat/V2uz_oT4rNUcS22a Saint Louis, MO: https://t.me/joinchat/Hngwk9xOkMSKvScg Bay Area AOS: http://t.me/joinchat/S5fILmvUbPAzZWJh NC: https://t.me/joinchat/FW6VEfxgXKS1AREV NC: https://t.me/joinchat/GAiN9iyZ0bMUqIf0 NJ: https://t.me/joinchat/G7J7tvNer1F5Q0HZ Cincinnati, OH: https://t.me/joinchat/IvSA5KZFS83ixyyi Columbus, OH: https://t.me/joinchat/H6GdeQIesn2pYDS5 TX: https://t.me/joinchat/UGtqhVzg5ne-1Ryr FO TX: https://t.me/joinchat/UPnRURf7_abH6ROs1xfAgQ VA: https://t.me/joinchat/Hhzej1wN7RAYzSPv San Bernardino https://t.me/+BbyhTuizHkhjODNh Las Vegas FO https://t.me/+MrBgxRYCUXI5MGQx Tucson AZ FO https://t.me/TucsonFO St. Paul Field Office group (Minnesota) https://t.me/joinchat/V2uz_oT4rNUcS22a El Paso FO Group - https://t.me/+e2G8Ow1cllAwYTc5 Tampa FO https://t.me/+tey3WnElabg4OGQx Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akkum_bakkum Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 1 minute ago, TOM_BHAYYA said: Most of 12,13 eb2 backlog cleared and 14 vaallaki already started 2 months nunde.. what’s the point of moving to 12 with out any backlog ? They could have moved month or so.. Very small numbers vunde vuntai....2011 and 12 and include late filers For example in the case of the October 2022 Visa Bulletin, without a retrogression of the Final Action Date for India EB-2, the two agencies would likely use all the available visas within the first few weeks of the fiscal year, in violation of the statute. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, akkum_bakkum said: I think this 60k is an estimate. They can only publish VB based on available numbers. Aa FAQ's lo see below: Based on the real numbers VB adjust chestharu...just like last year! Q4. Why has DOS retrogressed (set back) certain Final Action Dates or applied new Final Action Dates in the Visa Bulletin for October 2022? A4. In setting the first Visa Bulletin of the fiscal year each October, DOS makes reasonable estimates of the available employment-based immigrant visas in each category. It then, in collaboration with USCIS, reviews the pending inventory of adjustment of status and immigrant visa applications, makes reasonable estimates of new applications, estimates how many of the pending and newly filed applications are likely to result in visa use during the fiscal year, and compares those values to the available visas. When estimating how many pending or newly filed applications are likely to result in visa use during a fiscal year, the agencies consider a variety of factors, including but not limited to: the potential that a certain percentage of applications will not be approved; accounting for noncitizens who have multiple pending applications in different categories; estimating and considering the number of family members who may decide to immigrate with the principal applicant; and considering where applications are in the adjudication process and how likely they are to result in visa use in the immediate future. DOS and USCIS also take into account adjustment of status applicants with multiple pending or approved petitions in different EB categories who may decide to transfer between categories based on which category seems most advantageous to them. When the amount of demand for a particular category (or a country within a category) exceeds the supply of visa numbers available, the category/country is considered “oversubscribed” and DOS applies a cut-off date in the Final Action Dates chart to ensure that visa use remains within the quarterly and annual limits, as well as the category and per-country limits, as established by Congress. For example in the case of the October 2022 Visa Bulletin, without a retrogression of the Final Action Date for India EB-2, the two agencies would likely use all the available visas within the first few weeks of the fiscal year, in violation of the statute. Simply saying unna inventory ki vache SO enough emo. Let see EB2 I EB3I entha share chesukuntundho 60K lo. But I doubt 60K just estimation I will go with 50K. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
perugu_vada Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 47 minutes ago, Suhaas said: Q2. Can you estimate how many family-sponsored or employment-based immigrant visas USCIS and DOS will use during FY 2023? A2. DOS currently estimates that the FY 2023 employment-based annual limit will be approximately 200,000, due to unused family-based visa numbers from FY 2022 being added to the employment-based limit for FY 2023 https://www.uscis.gov/green-card/green-card-processes-and-procedures/fiscal-year-2023-employment-based-adjustment-of-status-faqs P.S: 60k estimated spillover. 200k lo India ki enni osthay EB ? @Suhaas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartan Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 8 minutes ago, perugu_vada said: 200k lo India ki enni osthay EB ? @Suhaas 200K lo.. 28% will be for EB2,,, andulo 7% will be for India.approx 4K Eb1 nunchi emaina vaste...adi added advantage. but it dosnt looks like Eb1 will spill any next year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
areyentiraidhi Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 22 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said: Simply saying unna inventory ki vache SO enough emo. Let see EB2 I EB3I entha share chesukuntundho 60K lo. But I doubt 60K just estimation I will go with 50K. For spillover , do they consider again by per country basis? last year ilane jariginda? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartan Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, areyentiraidhi said: For spillover , do they consider again by per country basis? last year ilane jariginda? Eb2 category limit (2800) reach aina tarvata Q3-Q4 lo RoW demand lekapote they will give them to most backlogged countries like India and MExico. thats why we saw huge number of approvals only from May. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
areyentiraidhi Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 Just now, Spartan said: Eb2 category reach aina tarvata Q3-Q4 lo RoW demand lekapote they will give them to most backlogged countries like India and MExico. so there is chance to get all of them to india Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartan Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 Just now, areyentiraidhi said: so there is chance to get all of them to india mana 4K kakunda, inko 20-22K vastai easy ga. ... if there is no demand from other countries Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viky Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 3 minutes ago, Spartan said: Eb2 category limit (2800) reach aina tarvata Q3-Q4 lo RoW demand lekapote they will give them to most backlogged countries like India and MExico. thats why we saw huge number of approvals only from May. makes sense, naku May lo ne otcndhi approval. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted September 8, 2022 Report Share Posted September 8, 2022 23 minutes ago, areyentiraidhi said: For spillover , do they consider again by per country basis? last year ilane jariginda? They will share equally as per last year. Andulo horizontal vertical SO lu untayi. But sad part is EB2 is more demand from ROW. I expected that. 2 years shut down and europe unofficial recession valla US market still hot so many people are moving. Real recession vasthe thappa adi aagadu not DB recession still US job market is hot. I repeat that. Just cost cutting. Worst part is EB1 lo premium chesaru so I am not expecting any from EB1 to EB2. I am not saying any random numbers bro look at court doc you will find answer RoW demand ela undo. No one expected that number anduke DOS dates move chesindhi but sudden rise ayyayi apps ROW obviously ROW ki sharing poyi ekkada bokka padindhi SO lo. Same will happen again with this small number. Final ga I see EB2 and EB3 will move to 2013 end or early 2014 hy end of FY 2023. Enka next year emanna SO vasthe 2015 folks chusukovachu. I still see some 20 to 30K SO from FB in FY2024. But too early to predict adhi kuda ROW demaND ekkuva vundi EB1 vallu exploit chesthe EB2 wil get nothing appudu kuda. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BacklogBadham Posted September 9, 2022 Report Share Posted September 9, 2022 53 minutes ago, akkum_bakkum said: Very small numbers vunde vuntai....2011 and 12 and include late filers For example in the case of the October 2022 Visa Bulletin, without a retrogression of the Final Action Date for India EB-2, the two agencies would likely use all the available visas within the first few weeks of the fiscal year, in violation of the statute. How do you read this bro ?? In yout thoughts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
akkum_bakkum Posted September 9, 2022 Report Share Posted September 9, 2022 20 minutes ago, BacklogBadham said: How do you read this bro ?? In yout thoughts They have that 2800 available..from regular EB quota and there is definitely more than 2800 pending inventory so if the PD is current they have to request all the numbers which will run out in the first 2-3 weeks. Then they have to put U next to EB2-I starting in Nov bulletin which is a violation of law as per their view. Law may state that the number should be utilized throughout the year. I'm not expecting any movement unless the spillover numbers are actually provided by DoS. They did this thing in March 2022 for FY2022 and so the forward movement in April bulletin this year. Similar thing can happen next year too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yemdoing Posted September 9, 2022 Report Share Posted September 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Spartan said: mana 4K kakunda, inko 20-22K vastai easy ga. ... if there is no demand from other countries game starts again ? mana delicate minds tho adukuntunaru kada ra USICS badcows Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartan Posted September 9, 2022 Report Share Posted September 9, 2022 17 minutes ago, yemdoing said: game starts again ? mana delicate minds tho adukuntunaru kada ra USICS badcows @yemdoing dont put any hopes until February next year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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