FY 2023 EB2/3 FAQ

[Rich_fellow123]

3 hours ago, Thokkalee said:

No.. Rahul cheppadu kadaa GC’s aipoyayi ani Asperger’s the uscis officer he talked to..

Not sure how much we can trust Rahul, he said many things which went wrong

 

[Iriswest]

8 hours ago, BacklogBadham said:

See 60K won't go to EB2 and EB3 only. Eb5 will take some % May be 10K. Then there will be 50K available only. After that 50K will be go to EB1 EB2 EB3. EB1 current kabatti motham will not go to EB2. That was everyone thinking but uscis was doing someotherway around. ROW kuda SO lo vaata undi. Look at last year data from the court doc. Spillover will come to play in Q3 and Q4. Aa time ki ROW apps lekunte majority will go to EB2 and it can take care of it. But ROW demand is too high from last Q3 it will happen again since last 2 years people were not able to travel. Eppudu apply chesthunnaru and Europe economy is not doing good but US job market is good adhi kuda one of the reason.

I will say still EB2 and EB3 will end up with mid 2013. Okavela Q3 lo malli Rapid move chessina ledha EB3 2015 ki EB2 behind like 2013 unna same retro will happen in Oct 2023. Then EB2 and EB3 will clog forever without huge SO. Better they move both with same pace from past experience.

Final don't expect anything after 2013 for FY 2023. Same SO next year vasthe yeah will go to mid 2015. FY 2024 lo

We will come to know in Q3 how much they intend to move. If they can clear 2012 by Q2 then chances are they can cover 2013 in Q3 and Q4. Also it’s not 40k, it’s 37k pending right now. (Deduct the pending 2k visas in the document)

[KothaKurrodu]

8 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

We will come to know in Q3 how much they intend to move. If they can clear 2012 by Q2 then chances are they can cover 2013 in Q3 and Q4. Also it’s not 40k, it’s 37k pending right now. (Deduct the pending 2k visas in the document)

Also we can deduce some applications for which visa numbers are already assigned

[Iriswest]

31 minutes ago, KothaKurrodu said:

Also we can deduce some applications for which visa numbers are already assigned

@BacklogBadham @csrcsr can anyone post fy2021 eb india numbers issued And total eb1 usage ?

[BacklogBadham]

1 hour ago, Iriswest said:

@BacklogBadham @csrcsr can anyone post fy2021 eb india numbers issued And total eb1 usage ?

FY 2021 evariki idea ledu anukunta. 2022 kuda edho court doc valla thelisindhi le kani adi kuda theliyakapothundenemo.

[akkum_bakkum]

2 hours ago, Iriswest said:

@BacklogBadham @csrcsr can anyone post fy2021 eb india numbers issued And total eb1 usage ?

chusko annai

India

EB1 30,825

EB2 28,246

EB3 14,912

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2021AnnualReport/FY21_TableV.pdf

[csrcsr]

4 hours ago, Iriswest said:

@BacklogBadham @csrcsr can anyone post fy2021 eb india numbers issued And total eb1 usage ?

 

just in case u don't have them

https://pdfhost.io/v/~qfBpSfKg_Microsoft_Word_Andrew_Parker_Decl

 

 

https://www.cato.org/blog/agencies-wasted-1/4-employment-green-cards-2021

 

[Iriswest]

2 hours ago, akkum_bakkum said:

chusko annai

India

EB1 30,825

EB2 28,246

EB3 14,912

https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2021AnnualReport/FY21_TableV.pdf

The biggest dynamic factor is Eb1 and row usage. 
 

2021 - 195k total - eb1 +row + china demand (142k)

2022 - 261.5k total - eb1+ row+ china demand (188.5k)

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2021 then eb2 will clear all backlog and might even move forward a little into 2015. 
 

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2022 then forget all SO. Dates will not even move an inch. There is a higher chance that eb1 and ROW will also get a cut off date.

@csrcsr @BacklogBadham @ARYA

Ee volatility mundu Venu swamy predictions kuda panikiraavu. GC guys enjoy your gift. Backlog guys, get back to work. Stop wasting your time here.

[BacklogBadham]

50 minutes ago, Iriswest said:

The biggest dynamic factor is Eb1 and row usage. 
 

2021 - 195k total - eb1 +row + china demand (142k)

2022 - 261.5k total - eb1+ row+ china demand (188.5k)

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2021 then eb2 will clear all backlog and might even move forward a little into 2015. 
 

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2022 then forget all SO. Dates will not even move an inch. There is a higher chance that eb1 and ROW will also get a cut off date.

@csrcsr @BacklogBadham @ARYA

Ee volatility mundu Venu swamy predictions kuda panikiraavu. GC guys enjoy your gift. Backlog guys, get back to work. Stop wasting your time here.

2021 lo EB3 lo Phillip nurse la ki visa lu evvataniki and EB1 EB2 ROW ki evvataniki no consulates and no travel. But 2022 lo travel restrictions poyayi April varaku and consulates noraml ayyai so ROW count perigindhi. EB3 lo ayyithe nurse count full undi. Eppudu ROW count full ga untundi pakka since Europe economy is not good but USA market is still hot. Evanni theeskunte obviously 2022 FY style ne follow avvutharu. Emanna migilithe appudu 2021 style. That is realistic and better to prepare for worst so appudu disappointment avvalsina avasarm undadhu.

[ARYA]

5 hours ago, Iriswest said:

The biggest dynamic factor is Eb1 and row usage. 
 

2021 - 195k total - eb1 +row + china demand (142k)

2022 - 261.5k total - eb1+ row+ china demand (188.5k)

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2021 then eb2 will clear all backlog and might even move forward a little into 2015. 
 

If FY 2023 is anything like FY2022 then forget all SO. Dates will not even move an inch. There is a higher chance that eb1 and ROW will also get a cut off date.

@csrcsr @BacklogBadham @ARYA

Ee volatility mundu Venu swamy predictions kuda panikiraavu. GC guys enjoy your gift. Backlog guys, get back to work. Stop wasting your time here.

[Rabbo]

On 9/9/2022 at 8:08 AM, BacklogBadham said:

See 60K won't go to EB2 and EB3 only. Eb5 will take some % May be 10K. Then there will be 50K available only. After that 50K will be go to EB1 EB2 EB3. EB1 current kabatti motham will not go to EB2. That was everyone thinking but uscis was doing someotherway around. ROW kuda SO lo vaata undi. Look at last year data from the court doc. Spillover will come to play in Q3 and Q4. Aa time ki ROW apps lekunte majority will go to EB2 and it can take care of it. But ROW demand is too high from last Q3 it will happen again since last 2 years people were not able to travel. Eppudu apply chesthunnaru and Europe economy is not doing good but US job market is good adhi kuda one of the reason.

I will say still EB2 and EB3 will end up with mid 2013. Okavela Q3 lo malli Rapid move chessina ledha EB3 2015 ki EB2 behind like 2013 unna same retro will happen in Oct 2023. Then EB2 and EB3 will clog forever without huge SO. Better they move both with same pace from past experience.

Final don't expect anything after 2013 for FY 2023. Same SO next year vasthe yeah will go to mid 2015. FY 2024 lo

Any idea how many applications in 2012 and 2013?

row applications how will they move fast , they need perm and I-140 approval , perm takes more than 9 months , 40k AOS are including row applications 

[BacklogBadham]

9 minutes ago, Rabbo said:

Any idea how many applications in 2012 and 2013?

row applications how will they move fast , they need perm and I-140 approval , perm takes more than 9 months , 40k AOS are including row applications 

No idea about between 12 and 13 bro.

Yes applications sudden ga peragataaniki reason 2021 nundi travel rules relax ayyaka second quarter nundi start ayyayi apps. Anduke you are seeing later quarter lo. Same will happen. Already pending apps unde untayi FY 2023 ki ready ga avanni approve ayye varaku q3 q4 lo gc lu panchestharu. That is why you are seeing any changes in q3 and q4.uscis weekly medicals tweet vesidhi Dhani kosame to get more ROW inventory in q3 and q4. 2022FY  lo apply cheina vaalki 2023 FY end lo vasthayi. Simple.

[CBNmyGOD]

On 9/9/2022 at 8:06 AM, perugu_vada said:

dates move aithe .. obvious ga u will get to know .. time waste mental-peace ni lose cheskokandi .. in trying to understand all this stuff .. USCIS vadi k telidu vadu em chestunadu .. em cheyabothunadu ani .. 

Itlu @BacklogBadham uncle .. 

ok