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నాకు అర్ధం అయిన GDP Q3 2022...

dasari4kntr

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dasari4kntr

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Key-points from this report and my analysis..

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf

 

Overall Summary of Q3

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment.

 

Formula

GDP = C + I + G + (X-M)

Where:
    • C – Private consumption
    • I – Gross investment
    • G – Government investment
    • X – Exports
    • M – Imports


…According to this formula…based on above report numbers...

C - 1.4
I -  -8.5
G - 2.4
X - 14.4
M -  -6.9

This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...)


What All Increased

Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4)
Goods (Q2 15.5 -  Q3 17.2)
    • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) 
    • Nonautomotive capital goods
Services (Q2 4.6 -  Q3 2.8)
    • Travel
    • Financial Services

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

gQDZOX5.png

Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9)

Goods (Q2 -0.4  Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6  Q3 2.3)

Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే...

specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

LAqD9Va.png


Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4)

PCn9cfi.png

Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1  - Q3 -8.5)
non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1  Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories.

but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8  Q3-26.4)  - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581

YRm9g05.png
 

Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 -  Q3 2.4)
    • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 -  Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 -  Q3 2.3).  
    • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782

lAncYTW.png


What all Decreased 

Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions.
Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers)
Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). 


National Income

Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth)
Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income)
Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B)

 

on a side note...

the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478

nGahHPv.png

 

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dasari4kntr LEGEND

dasari4kntr

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7 minutes ago, megadheera said:

Matter in 1 line plz

 

5 minutes ago, jalsa01 said:

+1

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased

 

gdp increase is good sign but that is increased because of war related geo political reasons…not organic growth…

more over personal savings rate is going bottom all the time low which is bad sign…

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dasari4kntr LEGEND

dasari4kntr

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On 10/30/2022 at 3:58 PM, dasari4kntr said:

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment. Imports, which are a subtraction in the calculation of GDP, decreased

gdp increase is good sign but that is increased because of war related geo political reasons…not organic growth…more over personal savings rate is going bottom all the time low which is bad sign…

 

Strong consumer....

FghJXU9WAAETUGa?format=png&name=small

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Gorantlamdhav Hero

Gorantlamdhav

Posted
Posted
On 10/30/2022 at 3:34 PM, dasari4kntr said:

Key-points from this report and my analysis..

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf

 

Overall Summary of Q3

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment.

 

Formula

GDP = C + I + G + (X-M)

Where:
    • C – Private consumption
    • I – Gross investment
    • G – Government investment
    • X – Exports
    • M – Imports


…According to this formula…based on above report numbers...

C - 1.4
I -  -8.5
G - 2.4
X - 14.4
M -  -6.9

This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...)


What All Increased

Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4)
Goods (Q2 15.5 -  Q3 17.2)
    • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) 
    • Nonautomotive capital goods
Services (Q2 4.6 -  Q3 2.8)
    • Travel
    • Financial Services

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

gQDZOX5.png

Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9)

Goods (Q2 -0.4  Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6  Q3 2.3)

Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే...

specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

LAqD9Va.png


Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4)

PCn9cfi.png

Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1  - Q3 -8.5)
non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1  Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories.

but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8  Q3-26.4)  - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581

YRm9g05.png
 

Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 -  Q3 2.4)
    • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 -  Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 -  Q3 2.3).  
    • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782

lAncYTW.png


What all Decreased 

Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions.
Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers)
Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). 


National Income

Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth)
Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income)
Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B)

 

on a side note...

the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478

nGahHPv.png

 

Orey intha khaliga vunnava? 
that was due to home sales closed which is 25% of gdp and travel etc..

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dasari4kntr LEGEND

dasari4kntr

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2 minutes ago, Gorantlamdhav said:

Orey intha khaliga vunnava? 
that was due to home sales closed which is 25% of gdp and travel etc..

neeku naaku orey ani pilichu kunentha  chanvu ledhu…

sakram gaa reply ivvagaligithe maatladhu…lekunte lite teesuko…quote cheyyaku…

naa time management gurinchi comment chesantha vishyam neeku ledhu…go side and play…

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Telugodura456 LEGEND

Telugodura456

Posted
Posted
On 10/30/2022 at 3:34 PM, dasari4kntr said:

Key-points from this report and my analysis..

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-10/gdp3q22_adv.pdf

 

Overall Summary of Q3

The increase in real GDP reflected increases in exports, consumer spending, nonresidential fixed investment, federal government spending, and state and local government spending, that were partly offset by decreases in residential fixed investment and private inventory investment.

 

Formula

GDP = C + I + G + (X-M)

Where:
    • C – Private consumption
    • I – Gross investment
    • G – Government investment
    • X – Exports
    • M – Imports


…According to this formula…based on above report numbers...

C - 1.4
I -  -8.5
G - 2.4
X - 14.4
M -  -6.9

This will give around 2.8 (not sure why 0.2 difference is coming...need to check again.. ఎవరికైనా తెలిస్తే చెప్పండి...)


What All Increased

Exports (Q2 13.8 - Q3 14.4)
Goods (Q2 15.5 -  Q3 17.2)
    • Industrial Supplies and materials (petroleum products) 
    • Nonautomotive capital goods
Services (Q2 4.6 -  Q3 2.8)
    • Travel
    • Financial Services

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

gQDZOX5.png

Imports (Q2 2.2 - Q3 6.9)

Goods (Q2 -0.4  Q3 -8.7), Services (Q2 16.6  Q3 2.3)

Food and beverages, materials తగ్గాయి...కానీ industrial automative vehicles and engines తగ్గలే...

specially petroleum products imports reduced...with various geo political reasons...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=6070#snid=6022

LAqD9Va.png


Consumer Spending (Q2 2.0 - Q3 1.4)

PCn9cfi.png

Gross Private Domestic Investment (Q2 -14.1  - Q3 -8.5)
non-residential fixed investment (Q20.1  Q33.7) -Expenditures by firms on capital such as commercial real estate, tools, machinery, and factories.

but residential fixed investment is decreased (Q2 -17.8  Q3-26.4)  - includes construction of new single-family and multifamily structures, residential remodeling, production of manufactured homes, and brokers' fees.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228580#snid=1228581

YRm9g05.png
 

Govt (Fed/ Sate/Local) Spending (Q2 -1.6 -  Q3 2.4)
    • The increase in federal government spending was led by defense spending. National Defence (Q2 1.4 -  Q3 4.7) (యుక్రేన్ కి సమర్పణం), non defence (Q2 -9.2 -  Q3 2.3).  
    • The increase in state and local government spending primarily reflected an increase in compensation of state and local government employees

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=53&eid=1228740#snid=1228782

lAncYTW.png


What all Decreased 

Residential Fixed investment - the leading contributors to the decrease were new single-family construction and brokers’ commissions.
Private Inventory Investment - a decrease in retail trade (led by “other” retailers)
Within imports, a decrease in imports of goods (notably consumer goods) was partly offset by an increase in imports of services (mainly travel). 


National Income

Personal Income - (Q2 $305.7B - Q3 $291.2B) (indicator for wages growth)
Disposable Income - (Q2 $253.3B - Q3 $268.3B) (after tax income)
Personal Saving - (Q2 $629B - Q3 $626.1B)

 

on a side note...

the most scary thing is... falling of Personal Saving rate...drastically...which indicates there is no retirement savings or other goals...

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/release/tables?rid=54&eid=155443#snid=155478

nGahHPv.png

 

Is this adjusted for inflation ?

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