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Jagan will win next elections - POLL


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Jagan will win   

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8 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

PK and Janasena supported TDP in 2014, do you recall that ? With all the good will that Baboru had then, with tags like 'Administrator' 'Foreign investments' , 'Job creation' he won only 1% votes extra over Jagan. Mind you, this was the time  when Jagan had highest amount of negativity propagated against him. Eenadu and ABN constantly derided him as corrupt, egoist and so on. Now, Jagan has more good will, as welfare programs are delivered. His 'Nadu Nedu' and 'Amma vodi' are smash hits; keep in mind, these will bring votes to him in terms of families (Conservative estimate 2 per family) and will only multiply. All those that make sound on these forums,  NRIs, IT employees who either sleep or drink beer and 'chill' on election day don't matter, because it's these people who go there diligently and cast their vote. Don't underestimate him. 

Anti incumbency anedhi okati untadhi, adhi chaduvuko

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6 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

PK and Janasena supported TDP in 2014, do you recall that ? With all the good will that Baboru had then, with tags like 'Administrator' 'Foreign investments' , 'Job creation' he won only 1% votes extra over Jagan. Mind you, this was the time  when Jagan had highest amount of negativity propagated against him. Eenadu and ABN constantly derided him as corrupt, egoist and so on. Now, Jagan has more good will, as welfare programs are delivered. His 'Nadu Nedu' and 'Amma vodi' are smash hits; keep in mind, these will bring votes to him in terms of families (Conservative estimate 2 per family) and will only multiply. All those that make sound on these forums,  NRIs, IT employees who either sleep or drink beer and 'chill' on election day don't matter, because it's these people who go there diligently and cast their vote. Don't underestimate him. 

I think he and his team go by data analytics big time. my guess is he strongly believes that his welfare schemes to those people will get him elected. the biggest share of votes are from those beneficieries. he created a system (volunteers) to remind them of these schemes.. monna oka government office ki velte bayata pedda pedda posters atikincharu, welfare schemes lo yenni kotlu distribute chesaamu ani..

naa analysis yentante.. power lo ki yevadochina chachinattu ee schemes continue cheyyali kaani tdp lo strong candiate ledu, andukani jagn will win with a decent margin. Ade lokesh ni kakunda, jr.NTR ni convince chesi CM candidate ga nilabetti unte, guaranteega geliche chance undedi. People saw CBN for 14 years, do not trust Lokesh, inka yenduku vote veyyali? 

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37 minutes ago, KGFsutthi said:

You talk this after 2024 if cbn comes out of jail during elections, it’s game over for jagan that’s my prediction.

CBN vasthe bayataki it will be interesting 

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29 minutes ago, Raja_Returns said:

tdp fan ayena YES ki esa vote

next kuda jaggu gadu gelisi state ki money leka gove ni nadipiyyaleka strees tho health padu avvali ani esa

ika a taruvatha elago lokesh chuskuntadu kada

CC @ARYA

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25 minutes ago, KGFsutthi said:

Anti incumbency anedhi okati untadhi, adhi chaduvuko

Anti incumbency anni sarlu work out avvadhu. Aa lekkana Telangana lo TRS gelichedhi kadhu last election lo. Unna , adhi Jagan ni dinchadaniki saripodhu, majority taggiddhi anthe. 'Gatti chutney' Atchen naidu gaaru andhuke annaru "party ledhu, bokka ledhu" ani

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26 minutes ago, quest said:

I think he and his team go by data analytics big time. my guess is he strongly believes that his welfare schemes to those people will get him elected. the biggest share of votes are from those beneficieries. he created a system (volunteers) to remind them of these schemes.. monna oka government office ki velte bayata pedda pedda posters atikincharu, welfare schemes lo yenni kotlu distribute chesaamu ani..

naa analysis yentante.. power lo ki yevadochina chachinattu ee schemes continue cheyyali kaani tdp lo strong candiate ledu, andukani jagn will win with a decent margin. Ade lokesh ni kakunda, jr.NTR ni convince chesi CM candidate ga nilabetti unte, guaranteega geliche chance undedi. People saw CBN for 14 years, do not trust Lokesh, inka yenduku vote veyyali? 

Volunteers also play a double role for money distribution "poll management". Rest fo your analysis is spot on.

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53 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

PK and Janasena supported TDP in 2014, do you recall that ? With all the good will that Baboru had then, with tags like 'Administrator' 'Foreign investments' , 'Job creation' he won only 1% votes extra over Jagan. Mind you, this was the time  when Jagan had highest amount of negativity propagated against him. Eenadu and ABN constantly derided him as corrupt, egoist and so on. Now, Jagan has more good will, as welfare programs are delivered. His 'Nadu Nedu' and 'Amma vodi' are smash hits; keep in mind, these will bring votes to him in terms of families (Conservative estimate 2 per family) and will only multiply. All those that make sound on these forums,  NRIs, IT employees who either sleep or drink beer and 'chill' on election day don't matter, because it's these people who go there diligently and cast their vote. Don't underestimate him. 

welfare programs already implemented dont give votes. Only promise of new ones. pasupu kunkukuma or dwcra none worked for cbn.

But i agree jagga is good in electioneering. Eventually he will ransack the administration.

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44 minutes ago, quest said:

I think he and his team go by data analytics big time. my guess is he strongly believes that his welfare schemes to those people will get him elected. the biggest share of votes are from those beneficieries. he created a system (volunteers) to remind them of these schemes.. monna oka government office ki velte bayata pedda pedda posters atikincharu, welfare schemes lo yenni kotlu distribute chesaamu ani..

naa analysis yentante.. power lo ki yevadochina chachinattu ee schemes continue cheyyali kaani tdp lo strong candiate ledu, andukani jagn will win with a decent margin. Ade lokesh ni kakunda, jr.NTR ni convince chesi CM candidate ga nilabetti unte, guaranteega geliche chance undedi. People saw CBN for 14 years, do not trust Lokesh, inka yenduku vote veyyali? 

KCR also did brilliant analystics with  sakala janula survey

Both KCR and jagan use technolocy for politics as they are primarily hardcore politicians. CBN or PK will try to use them for people - as they think politics are to bring some changes and have higher goals for society.

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25 minutes ago, Telugodura456 said:

welfare programs already implemented dont give votes. Only promise of new ones. pasupu kunkukuma or dwcra none worked for cbn.

But i agree jagga is good in electioneering. Eventually he will ransack the administration.

Pasupu kumkuma was a last minute theatric (I guess likes of ABN RK were behind this) with out any real intended benefit just few months before election. You can't compare that with Nadu Nedu, which is a complete overhaul of school education where the real time outcomes are tangible. DWCRA is a central government scheme, it's not Baboru's policy.

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25 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

Pasupu kumkuma was a last minute theatric (I guess likes of ABN RK were behind this) with out any real intended benefit just few months before election. You can't compare that with Nadu Nedu, which is a complete overhaul of school education where the real time outcomes are tangible. DWCRA is a central government scheme, it's not Baboru's policy.

Nadu nedu if succesful is good. But removing telugu medium was a blunder. lets see - these are all long term issues - whose benefits may or may not be realized.

whats the point in quality education if there are no jobs when they grow up. 

DWCRA may be from delhi but it was mostly implemented in AP.

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1 hour ago, Telugodura456 said:

Nadu nedu if succesful is good. But removing telugu medium was a blunder. lets see - these are all long term issues - whose benefits may or may not be realized.

whats the point in quality education if there are no jobs when they grow up. 

DWCRA may be from delhi but it was mostly implemented in AP.

While I agree with the removal of Telugu medium is not so good move, we should remember that English is the lingua Franca of the world; which is why most parents who want their children to be successful in India send their children to English medium schools. That's why all private including elite schools are in English. All those that moved to US or any other country are mostly likely educated in English. It's probably budget burden, that made Jagan to take this step. But, Telugu as language is still in the curriculum.  

When it's comes to jobs,  US the largest economy has about 40% of populace working in public and private enterprise. That's it. You cannot create employment for everyone. In India creating employment for 30% is an excruciating task. From Jagan's end public sector recruitments are happening regularly, unlike in Telagana where there was no recruitment for the last two terms. Babu also did a good job on this front. When it comes to creation of private sector employment, regional clusters have already been created in the likes of Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Mumbai and Delhi. To catch up to them itself is an uphill task and a time taking one. But wasn't the situation same before? People that studied in rest of Andhra moved to Hyd for jobs? If it's another state didn't telugus move to Bangalore ? Mumbai? Or say even to US?

Even remittances build wealth and enterprise. Expats back in 80s and 90s and even early 2000s did the same. Had the state(govt.) thought the same the first generation would never left erstwhile Andhra. 

DWCRA was implemented throughout India, but Baboru publicized it a bit more taking credit for the policy, not that it's inherently bad; he however  did see that DWCRA was implemented state wide. On a side note my dad worked as Asst. PD in DRDA overseeing it in erstwhile Khammam and West Godavari, and he used to attend conferences in New Delhi on the policy implementation.

 

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2 minutes ago, CanadianMalodu said:

While I agree with the removal of Telugu medium is not so good, we should remember that English is the lingua Franca of the world. Which is why most parents who want their children to be successful in India send their children to English medium schools. Why is why all private including elite schools are in English. All those that moved to US or any other country are mostly likely educated in English. It's probably budget burden, that made Jagan to take this step. But, Telugu as language is still in the curriculum.  

When it's comes to jobs,  US the largest economy has about 40% of populace working in public and private enterprise. That's it. You cannot create employment for everyone. In India creating employment for 30% is an excruciating task. From Jagan's end public sector recruitments are happening regularly, unlike in Telagana where there was no recruitment for the last two terms. Babu also did a good job on this front. When it comes to creation of private sector employment, regional clusters have already been created in the likes of Hyderabad, Bangalore, Chennai, Mumbai and Delhi. To catch up to them itself is an uphill task and a time taking one. But wasn't the situation same before? People that studied in rest of Andhra moved to Hyd for jobs? If it's another state didn't telugus move to Bangalore ? Mumbai? Or say even to US?

Even remittances build wealth and enterprise. Expats back in 80s and 90s and even early 2000s did the same. Had the state(govt.) thought the same the first generation would never left erstwhile Andhra. 

DWCRA was implemented throughout India, but Baboru publicized it a bit more taking credit for the policy, not that it's inherently bad; he however  did see that DWCRA was implemented state wide. On a side note my dad worked as Asst. PD in DRDA overseeing it in erstwhile Khammam and West Godavari, and he used to attend conferences in New Delhi on the policy implementation.

 

DWCRA implementation in AP was way ahead of any other state. This is for sure.

English lingua franca is a very weak argument. Remember Kancha Illiah ? he wrote many books in simple and easy to read english like "Why  i am not a hindu" - no one cared. He wrote one telugu book titled "komatlu samajika dongalu" or something like that - all hell broke loose. That shows power of mother tongue even though i may or may not agree with kancha. 

By giving up on telugu we are giving up on actual social change - that we can as a society - directly control. And putting it in foreign hands.

Regarding jobs - solution is simple and brilliant - Amaravati. 

Remittance build wealth but this is not sustainable. Right now - wealth is leaving Ap and tg to america - in the form of student fees, living costs and loss of tax income as workers move.  While peopel are not sending money back.

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