Election survey after CBN arrest

[CanadianMalodu]

13 hours ago, quest said:

CBN arrest ki mundu neck to neck fight unna Jagn close margin tho gelustutaadu anukunna. volunteers tho full ga data collect chesi, welfare schemes careful ga plan chesaaru. Jagn belief is vallandaru kakapoina majority vestaaru vote ani. 2nd thing.. weak ga unna constituencies lo donga votlu create chesaaru.

on the flip side, janalu 14 years CBN ni chusaru, first 9 years he was a good politician. last teem lo people did not like him anduke for a change ani jagn ki guddaru

Lokesh kakundaa jr.ntr ni face of the party ga petti unte margin lo TDP will win

PK is very inconsistent, he will never get to where he want politically. ayana alochanalu yenta manchivi ayinaa kooda

Center lo Modi, state lo Jagn sure shots. majority rakapovachu but they will win
 

Lokes

This is accurate. People have selective amnesia. A lot of my TDP supporting friends and maternal family believe what ABN and Enadu tells them. But, here is the kicker. BJP and Modi want total country by 2030. They have a solid game plan, and are implementing it piece by piece in South India. All that is related to UN 2030 agenda backed by WEF and Bilderbergers (That's another story).

Coming to how they' re making moves they have three hard targets in south 1. Telangana & Andhra 2. Tamilnadu 3. Kerala.

I'll start with Tamilnadu. Do you remember in the immediate aftermath of Jayalalitha's death (it was murder though), Modi and Shah quickly pulled the strings, replaced Pannerselvam ( a thevar) with Palaniswamy ( a gounder). Sasikala (another Thevar again, Pannerselwam is with Sasikala group) was grown in Jail and was only released after she let go of control of AIDMK. This is where TDP supporters selective amnesia kicks in. They thought it's tough to dismantle Babori kingdom. After all he was a kingpin in the erstwhile NDA. How can he be taken down. But Modi and Shah duo, gave Babu a chance to test his loyalty and Baboru flipped to UPA (Erstwhile UPA alliance). Even now, Baboru has his benami Revanth Reddi planted in Congress in powerful position. So Baboru's loyalty is not with Modi or NDA.

(Most regional parties would rather stick to UPA as they themselves are modelled around Congress with reigns held by elite families of dominant castes in respective areas).

Now, that's a threat to Modi and Shah and they're implementing the same strategy in Andhra which will also be followed eventually in Telangana.  Baboru will stick to jail. More charges will be coming. Which is why, Lokesh Naidoo went to Delhi again, to find supporters among Congress led I.N.D.I.A MPs.

It's hard to think High court judges will let go off Baboru, because of his connections as Shah and Modi are supremos of India at this time. Financially they are backed by Adanis (and Ambanis to an extent) to which Ramoji Rao and other NRI donors (not accounting gujju Patels, banias) are no match to. Baboru knew what's coming and tried to put a last minute appeasement by meeting Nada, during NTR coin ceremony but apparently it didn't work out.

Also, jr.NTR was already perhaps told what was to come when he met Shah , so he will maintain distance. It's also quite possible that reigns of TDP will be given to him, either through power play of Shah or due to internal consequences.

Jagan and Dora's family are also in the books of CBI and ED so they have no option except to surrender to Shah and Modi duo. But for now, its Baboru.

 

[Guest]

36 minutes ago, JackSeal said:

JSP will not win many individually but with they have good vote bank in some constituencies which might gets transferred to TDP.

Take Pedana constituency as example:

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	YSRCP	Jogi Ramesh	61,920	42.46%
	TDP	Kagitha Krishnaprasad	54,081	37.08%
	JSP	Ankem Lakshmi Srinivas	25,733	17.64%

 

Voting Transfer might not happen as expected but YCP votes are not stable either!

[Maggavale]

50 minutes ago, JackSeal said:

JSP will not win many individually but with they have good vote bank in some constituencies which might gets transferred to TDP.

Take Pedana constituency as example:

Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	YSRCP	Jogi Ramesh	61,920	42.46%
	TDP	Kagitha Krishnaprasad	54,081	37.08%
	JSP	Ankem Lakshmi Srinivas	25,733	17.64%

 

Idemanna mortgage anukunnava vaa, correct ga digits tranfer ipoiniki. kulala lekkalu chana untayi oorla la . PK  tho pothu petkunte tdp ki vache bcee, yescee  votes lo  enni pothayo neeku andaaz bhi ledu. 

[quest]

On 9/15/2023 at 3:06 PM, CanadianMalodu said:

This is accurate. People have selective amnesia. A lot of my TDP supporting friends and maternal family believe what ABN and Enadu tells them. But, here is the kicker. BJP and Modi want total country by 2030. They have a solid game plan, and are implementing it piece by piece in South India. All that is related to UN 2030 agenda backed by WEF and Bilderbergers (That's another story).

Coming to how they' re making moves they have three hard targets in south 1. Telangana & Andhra 2. Tamilnadu 3. Kerala.

I'll start with Tamilnadu. Do you remember in the immediate aftermath of Jayalalitha's death (it was murder though), Modi and Shah quickly pulled the strings, replaced Pannerselvam ( a thevar) with Palaniswamy ( a gounder). Sasikala (another Thevar again, Pannerselwam is with Sasikala group) was grown in Jail and was only released after she let go of control of AIDMK. This is where TDP supporters selective amnesia kicks in. They thought it's tough to dismantle Babori kingdom. After all he was a kingpin in the erstwhile NDA. How can he be taken down. But Modi and Shah duo, gave Babu a chance to test his loyalty and Baboru flipped to UPA (Erstwhile UPA alliance). Even now, Baboru has his benami Revanth Reddi planted in Congress in powerful position. So Baboru's loyalty is not with Modi or NDA.

(Most regional parties would rather stick to UPA as they themselves are modelled around Congress with reigns held by elite families of dominant castes in respective areas).

Now, that's a threat to Modi and Shah and they're implementing the same strategy in Andhra which will also be followed eventually in Telangana.  Baboru will stick to jail. More charges will be coming. Which is why, Lokesh Naidoo went to Delhi again, to find supporters among Congress led I.N.D.I.A MPs.

It's hard to think High court judges will let go off Baboru, because of his connections as Shah and Modi are supremos of India at this time. Financially they are backed by Adanis (and Ambanis to an extent) to which Ramoji Rao and other NRI donors (not accounting gujju Patels, banias) are no match to. Baboru knew what's coming and tried to put a last minute appeasement by meeting Nada, during NTR coin ceremony but apparently it didn't work out.

Also, jr.NTR was already perhaps told what was to come when he met Shah , so he will maintain distance. It's also quite possible that reigns of TDP will be given to him, either through power play of Shah or due to internal consequences.

Jagan and Dora's family are also in the books of CBI and ED so they have no option except to surrender to Shah and Modi duo. But for now, its Baboru.

 

I was thinking it could be the whole plan to inject BJP into AP. my guess is BJP will push Jr.NTR as their leader in AP. another thought is if BJP gets clear majority without YCP need in 2024, modi will send jagn to prison for a very long time. without jagn or cbn, people have to rely on PK or NTR. Strategy is to create chaos and make their presence.

[nokia123]

2 hours ago, quest said:

I was thinking it could be the whole plan to inject BJP into AP. my guess is BJP will push Jr.NTR as their leader in AP. another thought is if BJP gets clear majority without YCP need in 2024, modi will send jagn to prison for a very long time. without jagn or cbn, people have to rely on PK or NTR. Strategy is to create chaos and make their presence.

Enthaki thegincharu ra kamalam gallara 

both cbn and jaggu ni long term lopala vesthara ..vammane varinayane 

[Mr Mirchi]

On 9/15/2023 at 12:52 AM, Android_Halwa said:

5 days la survey kuda jariginda..

Afdb survey ki gantalu chaalu…why rojulu

[JonSnowUSA]

On 9/15/2023 at 11:20 AM, KGFsutthi said:

Nuvvevorivo @Android_Halwa kante hardcore la unnav ga, maree blind ga unnav 

I have been following India Today surveys and they are mostly accurate may be Bihar di okasari debba padinattu vundi. Bhaga chestaru vallu. Adi base ga chesukoni cheppina. Politics lo 1+1 either 2 or 1 or 0 autadi. TDP + JSP last elections votes kalipi cheppalemu.. either hit or miss.

2009 elections lo TRS + TDP kalipi poti cheste Telanagana motham dunnestaru anukunnaru janalu antha.. But emaindi Congress won around 50 seats anukunta and Hyderabad lo TDP 0 appudu. Maha Kutami kante ekkuva vachayi appudu Congress ki TG lo. kalisi poti chesina okkosari pedha benefit vundakapovachu. I just told my opinion.

[sri_sri999]

On 9/15/2023 at 6:49 AM, JackSeal said:

TDP+JSP: 98

YCP: 77

Poor, uneducated, livelihood leni people are leaning towards YCP

Middle class and above are leaning towards TDP+JSP

Because of volatile nature of PK decisions, JSP is lagging in Kapur dominated areas. If PK fixes his party organization then seat count will increase for TDP+JSP

Mare TDP empeeking anta vullovalla leaves aa?