db octopus..post TG results

[TOM_BHAYYA]

53 minutes ago, cool_boy said:

congi will win with margin

students & farmers dora g lo errati gunapam pettadam kayam esari

+ settlers

[TOM_BHAYYA]

23 minutes ago, Peruthopaniemundhi said:

Eyla bro. Anti incumbency is a split between congress, BJP, ysrtcp, jsp, TTDP, BSP… if farmers alone BRS ki vote veysthae BRS can easily get 60+. 
un employed youth are in favor of congress and BJP, but warangal and Karimnagar lanti places you may see BRS making clean sweep. 

urban educated voters are not trusting congress, they are voting BJP instead, because they feel even if they vote for congress they will jump to BRS..

one thing I noticed in this election is, it has become Reddy vs other castes in TS. Reddy business man are funding a lot, because they felt deprived from power past 10 years..

my prediction is

BRS will get 70-80

MIM 7+
congress 35-40 (irony enti antae after election 10 congress MLA’s will jump to BRS)

BJP 2 (Bandi Sanjay and Raja Singh)

If vehicle contests from knr pakka pothadu.. nizamabad side pothe emanna gelavochu

[manadonga]

54 minutes ago, Peruthopaniemundhi said:

Eyla bro. Anti incumbency is a split between congress, BJP, ysrtcp, jsp, TTDP, BSP… if farmers alone BRS ki vote veysthae BRS can easily get 60+. 
un employed youth are in favor of congress and BJP, but warangal and Karimnagar lanti places you may see BRS making clean sweep. 

urban educated voters are not trusting congress, they are voting BJP instead, because they feel even if they vote for congress they will jump to BRS..

one thing I noticed in this election is, it has become Reddy vs other castes in TS. Reddy business man are funding a lot, because they felt deprived from power past 10 years..

my prediction is

BRS will get 70-80

MIM 7+
congress 35-40 (irony enti antae after election 10 congress MLA’s will jump to BRS)

BJP 2 (Bandi Sanjay and Raja Singh)

Good analysis 

[venkappa]

1 hour ago, Sizzler said:

Does Congress have enough ( time) to capitalize on anti incumbency? If they fight for seats as usual, TRS will form the Government alone or with support of MIM/BJP later. 
 

Still think Revanth Reddy is blunder move by Congress.

Who else does Congress have other than Revanth?

[Peruthopaniemundhi]

2 hours ago, cool_boy said:

congi will win with margin

students & farmers dora g lo errati gunapam pettadam kayam esari

Students do not vote.. unless they are 18+
Farmers 95% vote for BRS, credit goes to Revanth reddy for his 3 hours power supply comment. Ground level lo farmers are worried about it and not trusting congress.

unemployed youth (30 lakh) are against BRS but of those nearly 50% are doing private jobs and are happy… motham exams (group 1 and 2) rasindhi 10 lakh youth.. 

Congress had golden opportunity but missed terribly.

1. Sharmila and his party should have merged or made some understanding to avoid Reddy vote split. Additionally, except BJP and TDP they should have made a political alliance to avoid vote split.

2. 6 Guarantee’s are more or less similar to what KCR is already doing except free bus scheme. They could have introduced better schemes. Credit to YSR, since his schemes were well planned and had an impact. 

3. Except batti, none of the congress leaders are in public to understand what schemes were needed. Revanth should have done intensive padayatra.

4. Congress failed to gain trust from voters to say that elected MLA’s will stay with them. 

5. they are still fighting for candidates finalizing, so neutral voters ki congress credibility poyindhi.

6. BC declaration ani cheppi, they are not following it and Reddy dominance kanapaduthundhi, which is why most BC leaders are unhappy. 

7. Just like modi or Shah there is no one in congress who can pull voters to booths. YSR created his own charisma, Revanth tried for some extent but his legs were pulled by many seniors 

In summary, the only way congress wins is thinking like a regional party and doesn’t depend on high command and create state level one person centric leadership (like YSR) It’s tough but it works. Just like how it worked in Karnataka. 

[Peruthopaniemundhi]

14 minutes ago, Peruthopaniemundhi said:

Students do not vote.. unless they are 18+
Farmers 95% vote for BRS, credit goes to Revanth reddy for his 3 hours power supply comment. Ground level lo farmers are worried about it and not trusting congress.

unemployed youth (30 lakh) are against BRS but of those nearly 50% are doing private jobs and are happy… motham exams (group 1 and 2) rasindhi 10 lakh youth.. 

Congress had golden opportunity but missed terribly.

1. Sharmila and his party should have merged or made some understanding to avoid Reddy vote split. Additionally, except BJP and TDP they should have made a political alliance to avoid vote split.

2. 6 Guarantee’s are more or less similar to what KCR is already doing except free bus scheme. They could have introduced better schemes. Credit to YSR, since his schemes were well planned and had an impact. 

3. Except batti, none of the congress leaders are in public to understand what schemes were needed. Revanth should have done intensive padayatra.

4. Congress failed to gain trust from voters to say that elected MLA’s will stay with them. 

5. they are still fighting for candidates finalizing, so neutral voters ki congress credibility poyindhi.

6. BC declaration ani cheppi, they are not following it and Reddy dominance kanapaduthundhi, which is why most BC leaders are unhappy. 

7. Just like modi or Shah there is no one in congress who can pull voters to booths. YSR created his own charisma, Revanth tried for some extent but his legs were pulled by many seniors 

In summary, the only way congress wins is thinking like a regional party and doesn’t depend on high command and create state level one person centric leadership (like YSR) It’s tough but it works. Just like how it worked in Karnataka. 

And most importantly, the biggest logic Congress missed is in deciding candidates, they asked to send applications for each constituency, top 3 are selected by Revanth and batch and final list by Revanth, Seniors and high command. In this process there will be more candidates who will become rebel and work against each other. 

[hyperbole]

2 hours ago, Peruthopaniemundhi said:

Eyla bro. Anti incumbency is a split between congress, BJP, ysrtcp, jsp, TTDP, BSP… if farmers alone BRS ki vote veysthae BRS can easily get 60+. 
un employed youth are in favor of congress and BJP, but warangal and Karimnagar lanti places you may see BRS making clean sweep. 

urban educated voters are not trusting congress, they are voting BJP instead, because they feel even if they vote for congress they will jump to BRS..

one thing I noticed in this election is, it has become Reddy vs other castes in TS. Reddy business man are funding a lot, because they felt deprived from power past 10 years..

my prediction is

BRS will get 70-80

MIM 7+
congress 35-40 (irony enti antae after election 10 congress MLA’s will jump to BRS)

BJP 2 (Bandi Sanjay and Raja Singh)

Bandi and Ponnam already told they will not contest from Karimnagar and looking for alternate constituencies, Kamalakar enjoys too much good will and his caste support( that's Bandi's fear). 

[Android_Halwa]

In Telangana, anti incumbency means need not be an anti vote for BRS. Dora and Co ni madatapetti tittukune batch ae Election Day roju andarikante mundu poyi BRS ki vote vesi vachedi. 

After two successive terms, it’s natural among voters to have some kind of distrust and Telangana is no different. But adi voting varaku vastadi ani aithe anukovatledu….

[hyperbole]

7 minutes ago, Android_Halwa said:

In Telangana, anti incumbency means need not be an anti vote for BRS. Dora and Co ni madatapetti tittukune batch ae Election Day roju andarikante mundu poyi BRS ki vote vesi vachedi. 

After two successive terms, it’s natural among voters to have some kind of distrust and Telangana is no different. But adi voting varaku vastadi ani aithe anukovatledu….

Anti incumbency is a proven thing in the south as no government was able to win thrice, still I was hoping BRS will lose some seats but form the government and that said ninna BRS manifesto taruvata and congress first list taruvata naku elanti doubt ledu 80+ kodatadu ee sari. Elections varaku chala changes ayutayi and congress leadership is unable to contain infightings, inka major list ravalsindi unnadi

Mahabubnagar lo 8 out of 14 candidates joined 2 months ago and why would the congress cadre support parashute leaders? Kasireddy ayite BRS MLC ki resign kuda cheyaledu inka.

 

[SonyKongara]

Congress 80 seats, Revanth CM

[Android_Halwa]

23 minutes ago, SonyKongara said:

Congress 80 seats, Revanth CM

Settler vote workout avuthe 90 pakk antunaru…

#Ground_Report